- The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Angels / Red Sox TV Channel: FDW | NESN | MLBN
The Los Angeles Angels (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-135) on Wednesday, June 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston, MA, MA.
This season, the Angels are 28-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 30-32 ATS.
Angels vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Jose Soriano 4-5, 3.41 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito 1-1, 4.84 ERA
Angels vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -175 | O 10.5 -105 | +110 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +145 | U 10.5 -115 | -135 |
Angels vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Zach Neto has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+13.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+10.60 Units / 106% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+10.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.05 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+15.50 Units / 258% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+13.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Carlos Narvaez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.45 Units / 74% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 away games (+13.35 Units / 111% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 away games (+11.50 Units / 96% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 away games (+8.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 away games (+7.79 Units / 22% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+5.76 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 58 games (+3.70 Units / 4% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 29-31 against the Run Line (-10.7 Units / -13.07% ROI).
- 28-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 2.58% ROI
- 31-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.12 Units / 0.18% ROI
- 28-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.87 Units / -8.93% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 30-32 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.51% ROI).
- 29-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.81 Units / -17.35% ROI
- 28-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.42 Units / -13.52% ROI
- 34-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.55 Units / 5.15% ROI
Red Sox vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -275 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Red Sox vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Carlos Narvaez (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Red Sox vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Soriano has a strike rate of just 56% (368/654) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (140/210) against Jose Soriano this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Soriano has located his fastballs down 47% of the time (298/633) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (214/349) against Jose Soriano since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito has allowed an OPS of .950 (337 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: .756 — 0 Percentile.
Lucas Giolito allowed an OPS of .799 (794 PA’s) in 2023 — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .695 — eighth Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has allowed an OBP of .389 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 4th highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .265 — eighth Percentile.
Lucas Giolito threw his changeup 32% of the time (207/652) when behind in the count in 2023 — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 93rd Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Angels were just 32-49 (.395) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Angels are just 136-13 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Angels were just 11-37 (.229) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Angels were just 54-6 (.900) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Red Sox are just 15-151 (.090) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Red Sox are just 4-167 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Red Sox were just 38-43 (.469) at home in the 2024 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have drawn walks in 4% of their PA’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .268 (873 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .243 (348 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Angels hitter’ K:BB ratio is 7.6 against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 2.7.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have struck out in 27% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox batted .300 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Red Sox hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers walked 135 of 1,436 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 13% of batters over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
More MLB Reading:
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