- The Reds are -130 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Angels / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | BSW | ESPN+
The Los Angeles Angels (+110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-130) on Friday, April 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Angels are 9-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 8-10 ATS.
Angels vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson 2-1, 1.47 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Angels vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -190 | O 9.5 -110 | +110 |
| Reds | -1.5 +155 | U 9.5 -110 | -130 |
Angels vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Logan O’Hoppe has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Logan O’Hoppe has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Logan O’Hoppe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.20 Units / 73% ROI)
- Reid Detmers has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.85 Units / 99% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.70 Units / 51% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 140 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 67 games at home (+4.23 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 11-8 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 4.11% ROI).
- 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.76% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.72% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -10.55% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 8-10 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -18.84% ROI).
- 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -4.17% ROI
- 12-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.2 Units / 26.07% ROI
- 6-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.25 Units / -36.9% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of .979 (95 Total Bases / 97 ABs) when behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .622 — first Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed an OBP of just .050 (20 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 42% (44/105) against Tyler Anderson this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
9 of Tyler Anderson’s 12 strikeouts (75%) have come on changeups this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Lodolo has allowed a slugging percentage of .690 (49 Total Bases / 71 ABs) on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .424 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 30% (160/537) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 0 Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (290/537) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (365/808) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Angels are just 23-131 (.149) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Angels are just 70-8 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Angels are just 65-12 (.844) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Angels are just 38-75 (.336) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Reds are 29-60 (.326) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .216.
The Reds are just 29-13 (.690) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Reds are just 41-47 (.466) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Reds are 26-13 (.667) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .590.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 2,425 strikeouts in 9,391 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .628 (996 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .271 (996 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have chased 10% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have 43 extra-base hits out of 91 total hits (47%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Reds hitters have 62 extra-base hits out of 138 total hits (45%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Reds hitters have 24 extra-base hits out of 44 total hits (55%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds hitters have 6 extra-base hits out of 10 total hits (60%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 170 of 1,604 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 699 of 7,013 batters (10%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .403 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .337 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Reds vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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