- The Reds are -125 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Angels / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | BSW
The Los Angeles Angels (+110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-130) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Angels are 9-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 9-10 ATS.
Angels vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Angels vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -175 | O 9.5 -115 | +110 |
| Reds | -1.5 +145 | U 9.5 -105 | -130 |
Angels vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Reid Detmers has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Matt Thaiss has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Reid Detmers has hit the Strikeouts Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Reid Detmers has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 10 of his last 14 away games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Christian Encarnacio has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+7.55 Units / 84% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Graham Ashcraft has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 38% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 140 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 67 games at home (+4.23 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 11-9 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -1.69% ROI).
- 9-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -5.57% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -5.67% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -5.47% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 9-10 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -11.91% ROI).
- 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.21% ROI
- 12-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.1 Units / 19.48% ROI
- 7-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -30.12% ROI
Reds vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Miguel Sano (LAA) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Reds vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Miguel Sano (LAA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Reds vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miguel Sano (LAA) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Reds vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Sandoval has walked 39 of 288 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has allowed an OBP of .395 (281 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .314 — second Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has not allowed a home run in any of the last 25.1 innings he’s appeared — Ian Hamilton has the longest active streak at 45.1.
Patrick Sandoval has walked 24 of 171 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.36 (95.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 3.97 — 0 Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has allowed a just .171 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for fifth best)– 96th Percentile and .611 vs left-handed batters this season (seventh worst among non-qualified SPs)– eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .292 (14-for-48) against Graham Ashcraft — 8th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .227 — ninth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .292 (14-for-48) against Graham Ashcraft over the last 14 days — 5th highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .235 — 10th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Angels are just 35-23 (.603) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Angels are just 65-12 (.844) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Angels are just 70-8 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Angels are just 30-76 (.283) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Reds are just 53-40 (.570) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Reds are just 20-25 (.444) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Reds are 15-72 (.172) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Reds are just 78-108 (.419) after a loss since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .628 (996 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .740.
The Angels are hitless in 4 AB’s in lefty-lefty matchups this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .271 (996 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Angels are batting just .239 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have 24 extra-base hits out of 45 total hits (53%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Reds are batting just .159 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Reds hitters have 44 extra-base hits out of 93 total hits (47%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Reds hitters have 63 extra-base hits out of 142 total hits (44%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 172 of 1,612 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 294 of 3,052 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 705 of 7,049 batters (10%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .394 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .339 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Reds vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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