Angels vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb 28

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(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 11:26 AM
  • Angels / Rockies TV Channel: BSW

The Los Angeles Angels (+105) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Colorado Rockies (-125) on Wednesday, February 28, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Scottsdale, AZ.

This season, the Angels are 2-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 2-1 ATS.

Angels vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Angels+105
Rockies -125

Angels vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Singles Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Mike Moustakas has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.85 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Trey Cabbage has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Michael Stefanic has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 150 games (+9.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Angels are 3-0 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 92.11% ROI).

  • 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 69.7% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 25.37% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -36.92% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rockies are 2-1 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 27.4% ROI).

  • 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 53.33% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 23.19% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -36.51% ROI

Tyler Anderson threw his changeup 32% of the time (199/629) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson threw his changeup 41% of the time (771/1,886) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has averaged 89.9 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — sixth Percentile.

Tyler Anderson threw his changeup 32% of the time (554/1,710) in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Austin Gomber allowed a slugging percentage of .663 (67 Total Bases / 101 ABs) on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .404 — first Percentile.

Austin Gomber allowed a slugging percentage of .661 (144 Total Bases / 218 ABs) on fastballs in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .455 — third Percentile.

Austin Gomber allowed a slugging percentage of .564 (173 Total Bases / 307 ABs) at home in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .411 — third Percentile.

Opponents batted .377 (43-for-114) against Austin Gomber when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .263 — second Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Angels were just 29-23 (.558) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Angels are just 8-136 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.

The Angels were just 61-7 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Angels are just 14-22 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Rockies were just 40-20 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Rockies were just 44-13 (.772) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Rockies are just 60-56 (.517) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Angels batted just .235 at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Angels hitters had an OBP of just .309 (2,984 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

The Angels batted just .223 with two outs in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Angels hitters had an OBP of just .269 (485 PA’s) against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.

The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.

The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.

The Rockies have won just 58% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.

Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Angels pitchers walked 636 of 6,305 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Angels pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.13 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out
  • Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Kyren Paris (Los Angeles Angels): Thumb, Out
  • Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, Out
  • Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.