- The Astros are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Astros vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Astros / Brewers TV Channel: SCHN | FDWI | MLBN
The Houston Astros (-135) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+110) on Wednesday, May 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI.
This season, the Astros are 17-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 19-18 ATS.
Astros vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 1-4, 4.47 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Quinn Priester 1-0, 5.79 ERA
Astros vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -102 | -135 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -118 | +110 |
Astros vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+8.80 Units / 147% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+11.30 Units / 126% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 15 games (+8.15 Units / 54% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 49% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.02 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+6.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 19-16 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 9.59% ROI).
- 17-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -13.25% ROI
- 15-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.65 Units / -12.19% ROI
- 18-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 3.21% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 19-18 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -3.94% ROI).
- 19-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.44% ROI
- 14-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -19.93% ROI
- 20-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 11.36% ROI
Brewers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Zach Dezenzo (HOU) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Brewers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Brewers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Zach Dezenzo (HOU) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Brewers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
| Quinn Priester (MIL) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (353/590) against Framber Valdez since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
7 of Framber Valdez’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among among AL Starters; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez located 42% of his pitches inside (302/710) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (291/473) against Framber Valdez in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Quinn Priester has walked 15% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Quinn Priester has a strike rate of just 57% (129/227) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 63% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (20/32) against Quinn Priester in two-strike counts this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.
Quinn Priester has a strike rate of just 59% (262/440) this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fifth Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are just 1-73 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Astros are just 2-8 (.200) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Brewers (sixth best runs scored) today.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Brewers are 57-38 (.600) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Astros (seventh best runs allowed) today.
The Brewers were 93-69 (.574) in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers were 47-34 (.580) at home in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Brewers are 108-72 (.600) at home since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .432 (155 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Astros hitters have put 46% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Astros are batting .356 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have 9 extra-base hits out of 47 total hits (just 19%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have 64 extra-base hits out of 229 total hits (just 28%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Brewers pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 58% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
More MLB Reading:
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