- The Astros are -110 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Astros vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Astros / Cardinals TV Channel: FDMW | SCHN
The Houston Astros (-110) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-110) on Monday, April 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Astros are 7-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 8-7 ATS.
Astros vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 1-1, 2.55 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 2-0, 4.50 ERA
Astros vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -125 | -110 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 +105 | -110 |
Astros vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+15.40 Units / 385% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+14.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jordan Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+11.50 Units / 230% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+7.90 Units / 88% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.15 Units / 89% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.55 Units / 80% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 92 of their last 162 games (+21.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 162 games (+4.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 79 away games (+3.70 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 79 away games (+3.00 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 79 away games (+1.00 Units / 1% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 84 games at home (+4.40 Units / 4% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+2.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 7-8 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -4.22% ROI).
- 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -15.32% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -11.38% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 2.15% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 8-7 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -1.83% ROI).
- 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -9.65% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.45 Units / 21.04% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -30.42% ROI
Cardinals vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Luken Baker (STL) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
Cardinals vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Cardinals vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
Cardinals vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
7 of Framber Valdez’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (291/473) against Framber Valdez in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez located 42% of his pitches inside (302/710) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a groundball rate of 67% (77/115) against Framber Valdez when he was behind in the count in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 57% (222 SO in 387 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of 35% (151/426) against Sonny Gray in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .106 (35-for-329) against Sonny Gray with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed an OBP of just .165 (387 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are just 0-6 (.000) after a win this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Astros are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 4-5 (.444) at home this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .611.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Cardinals are just 50-52 (.490) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Astros (10th best runs scored) today.
The Cardinals are 29-20 (.592) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have an OBP of .543 (46 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Astros are batting .432 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.66 pitches per plate appearance in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .226 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .146.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .783 (437 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .369 (354 PA’s) at home this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Cardinals hitters had 313 extra-base hits out of 991 total hits (just 32%) against RHP in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cardinals have allowed 8.17 runs per game (49/6) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.64.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have an ERA of 7.08 (54.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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