- The Guardians are -150 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Astros / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | SCHN | MLBN
The Houston Astros (+125) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-150) on Sunday, June 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Astros are 36-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 32-31 ATS.
Astros vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Brandon Walter 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 4-6, 3.95 ERA
Astros vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -180 | O 7.5 +100 | +125 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -120 | -150 |
Astros vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 away games (+25.50 Units / 283% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.60 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+15.85 Units / 159% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.70 Units / 99% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.30 Units / 78% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 56 games (+13.37 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+11.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 64 games (+9.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.15 Units / 24% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 54 games (+7.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.14 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+1.35 Units / 6% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 35-29 against the Run Line (+8.72 Units / 10.85% ROI).
- 36-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 3.09% ROI
- 26-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.5 Units / -19.2% ROI
- 36-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.4 Units / 10.48% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 32-31 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -5.41% ROI).
- 33-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 5.71% ROI
- 28-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -9.01% ROI
- 32-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 1.78% ROI
Guardians vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Gabriel Arias (CLE) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Johnathan Rodriguez (CLE) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
Guardians vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Angel Martínez (CLE) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Gabriel Arias (CLE) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Johnathan Rodriguez (CLE) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
Guardians vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Angel Martínez (CLE) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
| Gabriel Arias (CLE) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Guardians vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Walter (HOU) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +110 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (55/270) against Tanner Bibee this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (116/539) against Tanner Bibee this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 10% (4/40) against Tanner Bibee’s breaking pitches this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has picked-off 5 runners while trailing since the 2023 season — 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB — 94th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 107-84 (.560) on the road since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Astros are 166-18 (.902) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .858.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are 97-3 (.970) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Guardians are 109-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Guardians were just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have put 46% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Astros are batting .269 against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 791 times in 4,186 PA’s (19%) against RHP in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians are batting just .203 in righty-righty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .234 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
More MLB Reading:
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