- The Astros are -105 favorites vs the Mariners
- Astros vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Astros / Mariners TV Channel: SCHN | RTNW | MLBN
The Houston Astros (-105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-115) on Wednesday, May 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Astros are 24-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 28-28 ATS.
Astros vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 3-2, 3.63 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 4-5, 4.00 ERA
Astros vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +165 | O 7 -105 | -105 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -200 | U 7 -115 | -115 |
Astros vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 28 games (+22.15 Units / 79% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 32 of his last 40 games (+19.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 37 games (+17.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+16.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+13.65 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+16.40 Units / 117% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+15.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.20 Units / 33% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+2.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+1.45 Units / 5% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+13.25 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+10.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+7.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+7.35 Units / 31% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 22-33 against the Run Line (-11.75 Units / -17.88% ROI).
- 24-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.4 Units / -22% ROI
- 21-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.6 Units / -21.02% ROI
- 31-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.85 Units / 12.84% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 28-28 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -4.94% ROI).
- 30-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -1.66% ROI
- 20-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.8 Units / -26.42% ROI
- 33-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.5 Units / 17.1% ROI
Mariners vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Mariners vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Mariners vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander (HOU) | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -110 |
| George Kirby (SEA) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .216 (19-for-88) against Justin Verlander on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .346 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .295 (149 Total Bases / 505 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (20/90) against Justin Verlander this month (5 games) — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (20/90) against Justin Verlander this month (5 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 18 of 592 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 25 of 1,012 batters (3%) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 9 of 376 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby’s K:BB ratio is 20.0 (20/1) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.5 — 98th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Astros are 112-76 (.596) on the road since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Astros are 55-48 (.534) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Astros are 220-159 (.580) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 177-19 (.903) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .867.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Mariners are 161-6 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Mariners are 55-9 (.859) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
The Mariners are 101-2 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Mariners are 93-5 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 752 strikeouts in 4,298 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 104 strikeouts in 647 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are slugging .506 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .368.
Astros hitters have an OPS of .805 (1,105 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have 9 extra-base hits out of 54 total hits (just 17%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Mariners hitters have 430 strikeouts in 1,486 PA’s (29%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strike rate of just 62% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have walked 212 of 2,100 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.24 (988.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Mariners pitchers have walked 26 of 493 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.25 (1734.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Mariners pitchers have walked 218 of 3,397 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
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