- The Astros are -175 favorites vs the Nationals
- Astros vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Astros / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | SCHN
The Houston Astros (-175) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+145) on Friday, April 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Astros are 6-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 11-7 ATS.
Astros vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 2-0, 2.81 ERA
Astros vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 -110 | O 8.5 -105 | -175 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -115 | +145 |
Astros vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+11.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Victor Caratini has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 away games (+7.50 Units / 74% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+10.40 Units / 63% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+7.55 Units / 99% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.90 Units / 39% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 away games (+22.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 62 away games (+15.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 7-13 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -21.77% ROI).
- 6-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -44.89% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -18.08% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 9.93% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 11-7 against the Run Line (+2.95 Units / 12.72% ROI).
- 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 21.53% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -15.23% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 5.53% ROI
Nationals vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -275 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| C.J. Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Nationals vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| C.J. Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Nationals vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Nationals vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .203 (13-for-64) against Justin Verlander on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .350 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .238 (639 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .310 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .509 (640 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .712 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .574 (1,335 PA’s) since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .713 — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 55% (12/22) against MacKenzie Gore on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 47% (9 SO in 19 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (32/66) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 35% (23 SO in 65 PAs) this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Astros are 104-65 (.615) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The Astros are 96-25 (.793) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Astros are 172-53 (.764) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Astros are 85-56 (.603) after a loss since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Nationals are just 62-106 (.369) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Nationals are just 41-66 (.383) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Nationals are just 39-77 (.336) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Nationals are just 42-174 (.194) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 682 strikeouts in 3,879 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros are batting .185 on pitches out of the zone since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Astros have won 90% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .072 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .160.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Nationals are just 3-12 (.200) against the run line (-49.2% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .099 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .221.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 7.47 (59.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.05.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 57% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .356 (3,001 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% against Nationals pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
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