- The Astros are -175 favorites vs the Nationals
- Astros vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Astros / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | SCHN
The Houston Astros (-175) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+145) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Astros are 7-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 11-8 ATS.
Astros vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Astros vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 -110 | O 9.5 -120 | -175 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -110 | U 9.5 +100 | +145 |
Astros vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 64.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Victor Caratini has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 away games (+7.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jon Singleton has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jon Singleton has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.15 Units / 71% ROI)
- Victor Caratini has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Patrick Corbin has hit the Earned Runs Over in his last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- Patrick Corbin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- Jake Irvin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Drew Millas has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+4.70 Units / 20% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 away games (+22.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 62 away games (+15.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 8-13 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -16.05% ROI).
- 7-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -38.56% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -17.17% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 9.48% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 11-8 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 6.73% ROI).
- 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 15.25% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -14.39% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 5.25% ROI
Nationals vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| C.J. Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Nationals vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| C.J. Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Nationals vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Nationals vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ronel Blanco has allowed a slugging percentage of just .090 (6 Total Bases / 67 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .090 (6-for-67) against Ronel Blanco this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has allowed a slugging percentage of just .105 (4 Total Bases / 38 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — 98th Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has allowed a slugging percentage of just .121 (4 Total Bases / 33 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .532 — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (983/1,938) of the time since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 51% (534/1,042) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (198/576) against Trevor Williams on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (687/1,347) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Astros are 41-23 (.641) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Astros are 96-25 (.793) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Astros are just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 62-42 (.596) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Nationals are just 48-84 (.364) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Nationals are just 67-44 (.604) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Nationals are just 42-174 (.194) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Nationals are just 27-46 (.370) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 686 strikeouts in 3,903 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 365 strikeouts in 2,053 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,766/13,129 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
The Astros are batting .267 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .068 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .159.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .093 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .220.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .583 (254 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 6.92 (67.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .356 (3,010 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
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