- The Astros are -135 favorites vs the Rangers
- Astros vs Rangers Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Astros / Rangers TV Channel: ATV+
The Houston Astros (-135) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+115) on Friday, April 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Astros are 2-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 3-3 ATS.
Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Cody Bradford 1-0, 3.60 ERA
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +120 | O 9.5 -115 | -135 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -145 | U 9.5 -105 | +115 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jon Singleton has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+8.35 Units / 139% ROI)
- Jon Singleton has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Earned Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.05 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+11.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+10.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 29 games (+10.25 Units / 35% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 84 away games (+23.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 84 away games (+16.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 2-5 against the Run Line (-2.35 Units / -33.57% ROI).
- 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -48.21% ROI
- 1-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -58.6% ROI
- 5-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 52.32% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 3-3 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 0.59% ROI).
- 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 27.21% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -3.05% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -3.76% ROI
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abreu | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Diaz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Walsh | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Carter | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Taveras | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Brown | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (90/485) against Hunter Brown since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
The last hit on a Hunter Brown changeup was June 25th, 2023. Hitters are 0 for their last 20 in ABs ending on his changeup. — Tyler Anderson has the longest active streak at 27.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (86/143) against Hunter Brown on sliders since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .408 (20 GB hits out of 49 GBs) against Hunter Brown with runners in scoring position since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .248 — third Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cody Bradford has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (25/62) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
Cody Bradford has located his changeup away 81% of the time (22/27) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 52% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 58% (11/19) against Cody Bradford with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 38% — 98th Percentile.
Cody Bradford has thrown his changeup 35% of the time (7/20) when he’s behind in the count this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total CH; League Avg: 18% — 94th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 102-60 (.630) on the road since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Astros are 40-20 (.667) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .456.
The Astros are 61-40 (.604) after a road win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Astros are 41-34 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rangers were just 2-53 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Rangers are just 2-141 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rangers were 54-36 (.600) after a win in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 660 strikeouts in 3,718 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put 52% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Astros hitters have put 44% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Astros hitters are slugging .463 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .496 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .788 (1,624 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers had an ERA of 3.62 (710.1 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Astros have allowed 3.59 runs per game (582/162) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Rangers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Rangers have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
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