- The Astros are -110 favorites vs the Rangers
- Astros vs Rangers Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Astros / Rangers TV Channel: SCHN | MLBN | BSWX
The Houston Astros (-110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-110) on Saturday, April 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Astros are 2-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 4-3 ATS.
Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: J.P. France 0-0, 4.77 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 0-0, 12.29 ERA
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +145 | O 9.5 +100 | -110 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -175 | U 9.5 -120 | -110 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jon Singleton has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+8.35 Units / 139% ROI)
- Jon Singleton has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Earned Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+6.45 Units / 79% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+12.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+12.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+11.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+9.75 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 84 away games (+23.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 84 away games (+16.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 2-6 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -41.88% ROI).
- 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -54.71% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -40.22% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 32.95% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 4-3 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 10.77% ROI).
- 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 39.1% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 10.46% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -17.42% ROI
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alvarez | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tucker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Diaz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Abreu | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Carter | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gray | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| P. France | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 22% (115/526) against J.P. France since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (10/26) against J.P. France on pitches in the strike zone this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a chase rate of just 21% (107/501) against J.P. France in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
J.P. France has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 37% (7/19) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .451 (60-for-133) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .343 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .513 (40-for-78) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .350 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .440 (33-for-75) against Jon Gray on fastballs away since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .506 (42-for-83) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .351 — 0 Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros were 13-7 (.650) after a loss as underdogs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 61-41 (.598) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Astros are 41-34 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 40-20 (.667) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are 34-14 (.708) after a home win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Rangers were just 2-53 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rangers are just 2-54 (.035) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have an OBP of just .125 (32 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Astros hitters have an OPS of just .319 (32 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Astros hitters have just 665 strikeouts in 3,748 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are slugging just .194 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .379.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .499 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .851 (3,268 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .745.
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 11.25 (8.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have walked 37 of 306 batters (12%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Rangers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rangers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Rangers have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
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