- The Astros are -145 favorites vs the Rangers
- Astros vs Rangers Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Astros / Rangers TV Channel: BSSW | SCHN
The Houston Astros (-145) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+120) on Monday, April 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Astros are 3-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 5-4 ATS.
Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 0-0, 2.25 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 0-1, 1.93 ERA
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +110 | O 9 +100 | -145 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -135 | U 9 -120 | +120 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jon Singleton has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 105% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Earned Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jon Singleton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.70 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+12.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+10.50 Units / 75% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+9.60 Units / 47% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 84 away games (+23.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 84 away games (+16.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 3-7 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -28.5% ROI).
- 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -46.44% ROI
- 2-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -51.8% ROI
- 7-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 44.5% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 5-4 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 3.07% ROI).
- 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 29.5% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -13.78% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 6.5% ROI
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alvarez | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Abreu | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Tucker | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Diaz | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Carter | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -2000 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Heaney | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
| Valdez | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 72% (23/32) against Framber Valdez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (20/26) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 72% (23/32) against Framber Valdez this season — 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Framber Valdez located 47% of his pitches inside (361/767) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has not allowed a HR in any of his last seven starts dating back to August 29th, 2023 — the longest active streak is 8.
Opponents are hitting just .159 (22-for-138) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 100th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has not allowed a home run in any of the last 26.2 innings he’s appeared — Edwin Diaz has the longest active streak at 56.0.
Andrew Heaney has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (306/567) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 103-62 (.624) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Astros are 41-21 (.661) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .456.
The Astros are 41-34 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros were 13-7 (.650) after a loss as underdogs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rangers are just 2-142 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rangers are just 6-130 (.044) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Rangers were 24-20 (.545) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have an OPS of just .464 (106 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
The Astros have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Astros are batting just .155 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Astros hitters have an OBP of just .226 (106 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters slugged .456 against RHP in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .791 (4,984 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers had an ERA of 3.62 (710.1 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rangers have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
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