- The Rangers are -120 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros vs Rangers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Astros / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | SCHN | MLBN
The Houston Astros (+110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-130) on Thursday, May 15, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Astros are 22-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 24-19 ATS.
Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 6-1, 1.47 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom 3-1, 2.74 ERA
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -200 | O 7 +105 | +110 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +165 | U 7 -125 | -130 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Hunter Brown has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Jung has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+19.60 Units / 245% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 34 games (+8.92 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 44 games (+13.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games (+9.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 22-20 against the Run Line (+4.27 Units / 8.16% ROI).
- 22-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -6.35% ROI
- 18-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -12.99% ROI
- 22-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 4.29% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 24-19 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 3.14% ROI).
- 23-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 1.61% ROI
- 14-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.3 Units / -36.23% ROI
- 29-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.45 Units / 27.42% ROI
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Joc Pederson (TEX) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
| Jacob deGrom (TEX) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has induced opposing hitters to ground into 8 double plays in 23 opportunities (35%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .104 (7-for-67) against Hunter Brown when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of just .167 (72 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .104 (7-for-67) against Hunter Brown when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jacob deGrom has allowed a slugging percentage of .771 (27 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .367 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (111/337) against Jacob deGrom this season — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of just 15% (6 SO in 41 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 12th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (21/58) against Jacob deGrom on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 93rd Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 1-75 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Astros are 100-79 (.559) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 14-122 (.103) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Rangers were just 10-42 (.192) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Rangers are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .178.
The Rangers were 39-8 (.830) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The Astros are batting .359 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .433 (194 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters had an OBP of .346 (1,624 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Rangers hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .283 (770 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Batters facing the Astros pitchers have struck out in the zone 39% of the time over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Rangers pitchers have struck out in the zone 61% of the time this month (13 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. this month (13 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Rangers pitchers walked 91 of 1,430 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
More MLB Reading:
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