Astros vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 27

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Colorado Rockies center fielder Brenton Doyle (9) in the third inning of a baseball game Sunday, Oct. 1, 2023, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 27, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Astros are -225 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Astros vs Rockies Over / Under today: 16 Runs
  • Astros / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | SCHN | MLBN

The Houston Astros (-225) visit Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu to take on the Colorado Rockies (+180) on Saturday, April 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in .

This season, the Astros are 7-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 12-14 ATS.

Astros vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 2-0, 1.35 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 0-2, 4.34 ERA

Astros vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-2.5 -120O 16 -105-225
Rockies +2.5 +100U 16 -130+180

Astros vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 69.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games (+13.30 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Nolan Jones has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Elehuris Montero has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+7.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 48 away games (+20.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 62 away games (+15.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 71 of their last 133 games (+4.65 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 8-18 against the Run Line (-9.6 Units / -32.76% ROI).

  • 7-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.25 Units / -51.72% ROI
  • 8-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.2 Units / -32.68% ROI
  • 16-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.15 Units / 24.57% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 12-14 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -14.24% ROI).

  • 7-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -29.88% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -8.35% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.55% ROI

Rockies vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +210 0.5 -250
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 +210 0.5 -250
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 +225 0.5 -275
Nolan Jones (COL) 0.5 +225 0.5 -275
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 +230 0.5 -275

Rockies vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sean Bouchard (COL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 1.5 -115 1.5 -115
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 1.5 -110 1.5 -115
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 1.5 +100 1.5 -135
Jose Altuve (HOU) 1.5 +105 1.5 -135

Rockies vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 -160 0.5 +125
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 -140 0.5 +110
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 -110 0.5 -120

Rockies vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Ronel Blanco has allowed an OPS of just .394 (102 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .686 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .095 (4-for-42) against Ronel Blanco this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 97th Percentile.

Ronel Blanco has allowed a slugging percentage of just .149 (7 Total Bases / 47 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 7% (5/68) against Ronel Blanco this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 26% (15 SO in 58 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .361 (277 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 0 Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 26% (15 SO in 58 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .271 (13-for-48) against Cal Quantrill with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .159 — sixth Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Astros are 143-21 (.872) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Astros are 26-18 (.591) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Astros are 86-60 (.589) after a loss since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The Astros are 54-40 (.574) on the road since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .484.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Rockies are just 46-22 (.676) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Rockies are just 50-14 (.781) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Rockies are just 12-43 (.218) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.

Astros hitters have just 699 strikeouts in 3,955 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .927 (556 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .688.

Astros hitters have just 378 strikeouts in 2,105 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.8.

Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.53 (1530.2 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
  • Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
  • Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.