- The Astros are -125 favorites vs the Royals
- Astros vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Astros / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | SCH2
The Houston Astros (-125) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+105) on Tuesday, April 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Astros are 4-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 6-4 ATS.
Astros vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 0-1, 1.46 ERA
Astros vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -105 | -125 |
| Royals | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 -115 | +105 |
Astros vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jon Singleton has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 105% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Earned Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jon Singleton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- Victor Caratini has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 away games (+6.50 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- Cole Ragans has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.15 Units / 67% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Cole Ragans has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 67% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 84 away games (+23.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 84 away games (+16.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 4-7 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -15.88% ROI).
- 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -35.54% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -39.26% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 30.17% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 6-4 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 8.3% ROI).
- 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 18.11% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -33.19% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 28.71% ROI
Royals vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tucker | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Abreu | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Altuve | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Bregman | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Pena | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 -2500 |
Royals vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Ragans | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters are hitting just .000 (0-for-22) against Cristian Javier this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 26% (119/459) against Cristian Javier in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters are hitting just .000 (0-for-22) against Cristian Javier this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 100th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has allowed a slugging percentage of .000 (0 TB / 22 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: .381 — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .180 (29 Total Bases / 161 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .376 — 100th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .298 (116 Total Bases / 389 ABs) since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .422 — 99th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 57% (16 SO in 28 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (32/91) against Cole Ragans this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 95th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Astros are 104-62 (.627) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Astros are 95-23 (.805) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Astros were 13-7 (.650) after a loss as underdogs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 25-12 (.676) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .465.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Royals are just 7-44 (.137) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.
The Royals were just 17-13 (.567) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Royals were just 36-29 (.554) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Royals were just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 668 strikeouts in 3,775 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Astros hitters have put 49% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,722/12,721 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,072 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals were just 0-1 (.000) against the run line (-100.0% ROI) after a win as favorites in 2023 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.74 (744.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .147 against Royals pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .283 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Royals vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
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