Astros vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 19, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Astros are -120 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Astros vs White Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Astros / White Sox TV Channel: SCHN | NSCH

The Houston Astros (-120) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+100) on Wednesday, June 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Astros are 33-40 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 33-41 ATS.

Astros vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 3-5, 5.08 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 6-5, 3.16 ERA

Astros vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +145O 7.5 -120-120
White Sox +1.5 -175U 7.5 +100+100

Astros vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+15.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games (+14.50 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+14.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.10 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+31.85 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 23 games at home (+13.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.70 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 56 games (+16.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 52 games (+5.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 15 games (+1.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.50 Units / 49% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 31-42 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -12.46% ROI).

  • 33-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -20 Units / -19.29% ROI
  • 26-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.75 Units / -27.32% ROI
  • 44-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.35 Units / 18.93% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 33-41 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -13.81% ROI).

  • 20-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -26 Units / -35.06% ROI
  • 35-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -4.08% ROI
  • 35-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.8 Units / -3.5% ROI

White Sox vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Paul DeJong (CWS) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700

White Sox vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tommy Pham (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Mauricio Dubon (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

White Sox vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Mauricio Dubon (HOU) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

White Sox vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hunter Brown (HOU) 5.5 -160 5.5 +120
Garrett Crochet (CWS) 6.5 +115 6.5 -150

The last hit on a Hunter Brown changeup was June 25th, 2023. Hitters are 0 for their last 20 in ABs ending on his changeup. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Hunter Brown has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 13.2 innings pitched — Justin Martinez has the longest active streak at 20.2.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .100 (3-for-30) against Hunter Brown this month (3 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (97/161) against Hunter Brown on sliders since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 42% (57 SO in 135 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 43% (26 SO in 60 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 36% (116 SO in 325 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (195/441) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Astros are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are just 2-28 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .111.

The Astros are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .060.

The Astros are 108-30 (.783) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The White Sox are just 65-48 (.575) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The White Sox are just 7-8 (.467) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .757.

The White Sox are just 61-25 (.709) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The White Sox are just 27-53 (.338) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.

Astros hitters have just 773 strikeouts in 4,457 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 452 strikeouts in 2,607 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters are averaging just 3.69 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Astros hitters are averaging just 3.68 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,622 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (8,649 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .217 (4,563 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 18% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.55 (1721.0 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.

The White Sox have won just 13% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 1,472 of 15,276 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 3% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 939 of 9,131 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

White Sox vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
  • Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
  • Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.