- The Astros are -175 favorites vs the White Sox
- Astros vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Astros / White Sox TV Channel: SCHN | NSCH
The Houston Astros (-175) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+145) on Thursday, June 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Astros are 34-40 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 33-42 ATS.
Astros vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 3-6, 6.42 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-6, 5.40 ERA
Astros vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 -110 | O 9 -110 | -175 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -110 | U 9 -110 | +145 |
Astros vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 62.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+16.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+15.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+14.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+13.50 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.10 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 38 games (+30.85 Units / 81% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+14.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 24 games at home (+12.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 71% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.55 Units / 47% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 57 games (+17.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games (+3.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.55 Units / 6% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+7.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+4.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.45 Units / 48% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 32-42 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -10.61% ROI).
- 34-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -19 Units / -18.12% ROI
- 26-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.95 Units / -28.4% ROI
- 45-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.35 Units / 19.91% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 33-42 against the Run Line (-14 Units / -15.48% ROI).
- 20-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.05 Units / -35.97% ROI
- 35-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -5.48% ROI
- 36-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -2.22% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Arrighetti has walked 18 of 97 batters (19%) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OPS of 1.126 (97 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .740 — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has walked 31 of 251 batters (12%) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed a slugging percentage of .662 (51 Total Bases / 77 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .422 — second Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has allowed an OPS of 1.017 (230 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: .757 — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .587 (266 Total Bases / 453 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: .434 — second Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed an OPS of 1.182 (105 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: .768 — 0 Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed an OBP of .457 (105 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: .327 — 0 Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Astros are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .060.
The Astros are 19-18 (.514) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Astros are 108-30 (.783) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Astros are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The White Sox are just 61-25 (.709) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 6-23 (.207) after a road loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The White Sox are just 10-11 (.476) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The White Sox are just 12-42 (.222) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 781 strikeouts in 4,484 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,250/9,037 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters have just 460 strikeouts in 2,634 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,091/15,091 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .456 (4,581 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (8,684 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .289 (4,248 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .272 (1,101 PA’s) with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.53 (1730.0 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .318 against White Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
The White Sox have won just 13% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 941 of 9,171 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.55 (317.2 IP) on the road this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
White Sox vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
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