- The Diamondbacks are -200 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Athletics / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+165) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-200) on Sunday, June 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Athletics are 30-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 38-45 ATS.
Athletics vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Luis Medina 1-3, 5.71 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 3-6, 4.43 ERA
Athletics vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -120 | O 8.5 -115 | +165 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +100 | U 8.5 -105 | -200 |
Athletics vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Zack Gelof has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+24.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+8.65 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 away games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.25 Units / 20% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 83 games (+4.10 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 41-44 against the Run Line (-13.15 Units / -12.13% ROI).
- 30-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.5 Units / -14.18% ROI
- 37-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.75 Units / -13.71% ROI
- 45-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.55 Units / 3.78% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 38-45 against the Run Line (-13.1 Units / -11.98% ROI).
- 40-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -7.34% ROI
- 41-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -3.52% ROI
- 40-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -4.87% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| JJ Bleday (OAK) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Diamondbacks vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| JJ Bleday (OAK) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Diamondbacks vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Diamondbacks vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -105 |
| Luis Medina (OAK) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Medina has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (301/602) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Luis Medina has a first-pitch strike rate of just 45% (49/110) this month (5 games) — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Luis Medina has a first-pitch strike rate of just 45% (49/110) this month (5 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Luis Medina has walked 33 of 246 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt allowed a batting average of just .187 vs right-handed batters (eighth best)– 90th Percentile and .296 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)– fourth Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 73% (291/401) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OPS of .806 (203 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .698 — 17th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .469 (23 Total Bases / 49 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — 15th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Athletics are just 7-10 (.412) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Athletics are just 9-24 (.273) after a road loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Athletics are just 77-136 (.362) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Athletics are just 111-78 (.587) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Diamondbacks are just 7-16 (.304) after a home win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Diamondbacks are 17-11 (.607) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 167-15 (.918) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 149-25 (.856) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters are slugging just .155 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Athletics are batting just .116 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .294 (2,342 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
The Athletics are batting just .226 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
27% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 36% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 67% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .618 (959 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .680.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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