The Oakland Athletics (+145) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-175) on Monday, March 11, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Scottsdale, AZ.
This season, the Athletics are 6-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 4-9 ATS.
Athletics vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +145 |
| Diamondbacks | -175 |
Athletics vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s matchup with 59.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.35 Units / 107% ROI)
- Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.85 Units / 95% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jordan Lawlar has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jordan Lawlar has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.35 Units / 17% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.81 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 176 games (+9.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Athletics are 7-3 against the Run Line (+4.97 Units / 41.59% ROI).
- 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.37 Units / 21.78% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -4.11% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -4.52% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 4-9 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -39.74% ROI).
- 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.81 Units / -23.13% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 3.51% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -11.5% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Boyle has limited playing time.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson had an ERA of 8.25 (55.2 IP) at home in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.14 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .356 (84-for-236) against Ryne Nelson at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson allowed a slugging percentage of .636 (150 Total Bases / 236 ABs) at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .411 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson struck out just 14% (42/304) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Athletics are just 87-61 (.588) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Athletics were just 29-79 (.269) after a loss in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Athletics are just 67-143 (.319) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Diamondbacks are just 116-21 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks are just 55-36 (.604) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Diamondbacks are just 132-13 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks were 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics batted just .223 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics won only 32% of their home games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters slugged just .512 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Diamondbacks hitters struck out just 1,247 times in 6,124 PA’s (20%) in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters slugged just .394 against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Diamondbacks hitters missed on just 23% of swings in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
The Athletics allowed 5.95 runs per game (482/81) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.60.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 434 times in the 2023 season — 3rd most in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 1,706 times in the 2023 season — 4th most in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (4,085 batted balls) in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,042 times in the 2023 season — 4th most in MLB.
Diamondbacks vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Corbin Martin (Arizona Diamondbacks): Lat, Out
- Chris Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Kevin Ginkel (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, Out
- Scott McGough (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, Out
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Zach Jackson (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, Out
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
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