- The Guardians are -175 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Athletics / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+145) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-175) on Friday, April 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Athletics are 8-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 12-7 ATS.
Athletics vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Joe Boyle 1-2, 5.69 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie 1-2, 6.08 ERA
Athletics vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -110 | +145 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -110 | -175 |
Athletics vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 24 away games (+9.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 16 away games (+8.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- JP Sears has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+7.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 away games (+7.65 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Estevan Florial has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.95 Units / 56% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 128 games (+12.88 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.81 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 75 games at home (+21.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 10-9 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -6.33% ROI).
- 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -1.52% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -9.2% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.47% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 12-7 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 15.31% ROI).
- 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 26.34% ROI
- 11-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.3 Units / 15.68% ROI
- 7-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -24.52% ROI
Guardians vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seth Brown (ОАК) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Zack Gelof (OAK) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| JJ Bleday (OAK) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Guardians vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Esteury Ruiz (OAK) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Zack Gelof (OAK) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Seth Brown (ОАК) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Guardians vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| JJ Bleday (OAK) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seth Brown (ОАК) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Guardians vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 9% (8/93) against Joe Boyle in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 15% (21/136) against Joe Boyle this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 0 Percentile.
Joe Boyle has a strike rate of just 54% (99/183) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Joe Boyle has walked 8 of 42 batters (19%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Triston McKenzie has walked 12 of 62 batters (19%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (15/102) against Triston McKenzie this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 17% (23/133) against Triston McKenzie this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .175 (17-for-97) against Triston McKenzie on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .273 — 99th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Athletics are just 5-8 (.385) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .590.
The Athletics are just 94-65 (.591) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Athletics are just 35-75 (.318) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Guardians are 24-126 (.160) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Guardians are 19-62 (.235) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Guardians are 11-137 (.074) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Guardians are 35-119 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .212 at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .289 (12,515 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,277 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Athletics are batting just .199 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians have barrels in 4% of PA’s since last season (249/6,841) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .359 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.84 (728.2 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.40.
Athletics pitchers have walked 764 of 7,117 batters (11%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 27 of 172 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 10 of 65 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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