- The Guardians are -165 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Athletics / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+140) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-165) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Athletics are 8-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 13-7 ATS.
Athletics vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Alex Wood 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Athletics vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -145 | O 7.5 -115 | +140 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +120 | U 7.5 -105 | -165 |
Athletics vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- JP Sears has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 away games (+3.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 9 away games (+3.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- JP Sears has hit the Strikeouts Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.30 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Logan Allen has hit the Strikeouts Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- David Fry has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.25 Units / 59% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 128 games (+12.88 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.81 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 75 games at home (+21.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 10-10 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -11.56% ROI).
- 8-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -6.28% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -4.15% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -5.59% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 13-7 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 19.31% ROI).
- 14-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units / 28.49% ROI
- 12-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.3 Units / 19.46% ROI
- 7-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -28.47% ROI
Guardians vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Ramon Laureano (CLE) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Guardians vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Esteury Ruiz (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Abraham Toro (OAK) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tyler Nevin (OAK) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Guardians vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ramon Laureano (CLE) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tyler Nevin (OAK) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Wood has allowed an OPS of 1.838 (19 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .696 — 0 Percentile.
Alex Wood has allowed an OBP of .556 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .305 — second Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 44% (47/106) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Alex Wood has allowed an OBP of .684 (19 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 0 Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen has a strikeout rate of just 14% (5 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (10/64) against Logan Allen this season — 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of 1.342 (23 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .663 — second Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .629 (22 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .344 — fifth Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Athletics are just 5-8 (.385) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .590.
The Athletics are just 34-88 (.279) after a loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Athletics are just 35-75 (.318) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Athletics are just 72-152 (.321) after a loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Guardians are just 8-16 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 35-119 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Guardians are 12-66 (.154) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Guardians are 19-62 (.235) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .642 (9,197 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Athletics are batting just .219 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Athletics are batting just .200 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .625 (6,277 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,700 strikeouts in 9,363 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,417 strikeouts in 13,040 PA’s (18%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Guardians have barrels in 4% of PA’s since last season (250/6,877) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.88 (736.2 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.40.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 39% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.31 (1599.1 IP) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Guardians have allowed 0.45 runs per game (9/20) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.35.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.87 (1625.0 IP) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Guardians vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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