- The Guardians are -190 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Athletics / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | NSCA | ESPN+
The Oakland Athletics (+155) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-190) on Sunday, April 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Athletics are 8-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 14-7 ATS.
Athletics vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Ross Stripling 0-4, 5.40 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 1-0, 4.91 ERA
Athletics vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -135 | O 7.5 -110 | +155 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +110 | U 7.5 -110 | -190 |
Athletics vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 17 away games (+9.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 away games (+8.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 away games (+8.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- JP Sears has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+8.20 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+7.45 Units / 124% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 42% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 128 games (+12.88 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.81 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 75 games at home (+21.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 10-11 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -15.93% ROI).
- 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -10.6% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.44% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -10.21% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 14-7 against the Run Line (+6.45 Units / 22.67% ROI).
- 15-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.65 Units / 30.19% ROI
- 13-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.3 Units / 22.89% ROI
- 7-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -32.03% ROI
Guardians vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Seth Brown (ะะะ) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| JJ Bleday (OAK) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Guardians vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Abraham Toro (OAK) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brayan Rocchio (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Seth Brown (ะะะ) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Guardians vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seth Brown (ะะะ) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (6/23) against Ross Stripling in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (33/181) against Ross Stripling this season — 2nd lowest among in AL; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .364 (12-for-33) against Ross Stripling when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: .219 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .262 (60-for-229) against Ross Stripling with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .173 — first Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .412 (7-for-17) against Tanner Bibee’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .223 — third Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of .765 (13 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .366 — third Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed a .625 SLG vs left-handed batters this season — fifth worst among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP– sixth Percentile. He allowed a SLG of just .270 vs left-handed batters last season — second best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 99th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of .537 (22 Total Bases / 41 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .287 — second Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Athletics are just 5-8 (.385) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .590.
The Athletics are just 94-65 (.591) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Athletics are just 35-75 (.318) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Guardians are 35-119 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Guardians are just 8-16 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are just 7-16 (.304) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 97-24 (.802) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .289 (12,588 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Athletics are batting just .226 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,277 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .642 (9,211 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 2,425 strikeouts in 13,078 PA’s (18%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have put 46% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Athletics have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.31 (1607.1 IP) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.89 (744.2 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.40.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Guardians have allowed 0.43 runs per game (9/21) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.34.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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