Athletics vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 2

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Seattle Mariners' J.P. Crawford follows through during an at-bat a baseball game against the Texas Rangers, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2024, 12:16 PM

The Oakland Athletics (+165) visit Peoria Sports Complex to take on the Seattle Mariners (-200) on Saturday, March 2, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Peoria, AZ.

This season, the Athletics are 3-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 3-2 ATS.

Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Athletics+165
Mariners -200

Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s matchup with 56.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.35 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.85 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Jordan Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Sam Haggerty has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Cooper Hummel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Cooper Hummel has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.81 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games at home (+8.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Athletics are 4-2 against the Run Line (+2.82 Units / 39.83% ROI).

  • 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -5.22% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -3.88% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -5.93% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mariners are 3-2 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 13.89% ROI).

  • 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -82.91% ROI
  • 5-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 91.74% ROI
  • 0-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -100% ROI

Mitch Spence is making his MLB debut today.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Emerson Hancock has limited playing time.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.

The Athletics are just 87-61 (.588) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Athletics were just 29-79 (.269) after a loss in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Athletics are just 67-143 (.319) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mariners were 13-8 (.619) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .433.

The Mariners are 44-6 (.880) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Mariners were 64-13 (.831) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .780.

The Mariners were 76-2 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Athletics batted just .223 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Athletics won only 32% of their home games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

The Mariners batted just .125 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.

Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mariners hitters struck out 1,603 times in 6,201 PA’s (26%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

The Athletics allowed 5.95 runs per game (482/81) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.60.

Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents had a swing rate of 50% against the Mariners pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Mariners pitchers had a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Mariners pitchers had an ERA of 3.42 (744.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.

Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Mitch Haniger (Seattle Mariners): Back, Out
  • Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, Out
  • Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, Out
  • Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Arm, Out
  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, Out
  • James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
  • Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
  • Zach Jackson (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
  • Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, Out
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.