- The Mariners are -150 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Athletics / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-150) on Friday, May 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Athletics are 18-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 18-20 ATS.
Athletics vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn 3-1, 3.00 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -165 | O 7.5 -115 | +125 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 -105 | -150 |
Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brett Harris has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+15.00 Units / 250% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 72% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+7.60 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+13.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+13.00 Units / 325% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+12.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+12.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 72 of their last 125 games (+12.28 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.81 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 22-17 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 2.28% ROI).
- 18-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 9.98% ROI
- 18-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -6.7% ROI
- 19-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -2.54% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 18-20 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -9.7% ROI).
- 20-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -2.78% ROI
- 10-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.3 Units / -45.3% ROI
- 26-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.8 Units / 35.97% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Blackburn has a strikeout rate of just 11% (7 SO in 63 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has allowed a slugging percentage of .933 (14 Total Bases / 15 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .361 — 0 Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has allowed an OBP of just .200 (95 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 98th Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has thrown his fastball for a strike just 57% (116/203) of the time this season — 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 67% — fourth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 73% of the time (1,052/1,448) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
69% of Bryan Woo’s strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .208 (50-for-240) against Bryan Woo’s fastball since last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .268 — 96th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has spotted his fastball inside for a strike 74% (288/387) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Athletics are just 76-157 (.326) after a loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Athletics are just 36-77 (.319) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Athletics are just 20-116 (.147) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 51-9 (.850) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
The Mariners are 34-36 (.486) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Mariners are 155-6 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Mariners are 149-14 (.914) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters are slugging just .158 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Athletics are batting just .200 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Athletics won just 46% of games in which they have scored first at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .291 (13,272 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .204 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Mariners are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Mariners hitters have 90 strikeouts in 341 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners hitters have 512 strikeouts in 1,965 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 40% of the time after an opposing score since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 209 of 3,241 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 95 of 1,353 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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