- The Athletics are +100 favorites vs the Marlins
- Athletics vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Athletics / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+100) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-120) on Saturday, May 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL.
This season, the Athletics are against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 15-16 ATS.
Athletics vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Osvaldo Bido 2-2, 4.36 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 2-3, 3.21 ERA
Athletics vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 -105 | +100 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -200 | U 8.5 -115 | -120 |
Athletics vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Athletics Best Bets Today:
Marlins Best Bets Today:
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 15-16 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -9.11% ROI).
- 12-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -4.69% ROI
- 21-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.6 Units / 27.83% ROI
- 10-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.1 Units / -38.87% ROI
Marlins vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Mervis (MIA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brent Rooker (ATH) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Tyler Soderstrom (ATH) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Marlins vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Wilson (ATH) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Lawrence Butler (ATH) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Tyler Soderstrom (ATH) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Marlins vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Mervis (MIA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Meyer (MIA) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
| Osvaldo Bido (ATH) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Osvaldo Bido has allowed an OBP of .422 (83 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — first Percentile.
Osvaldo Bido has struck out just 7% (6/83) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Osvaldo Bido has a strikeout rate of just 12% (17 SO in 140 PAs) this season — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 21% — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 22% (9/41) against Osvaldo Bido this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 42% (48/115) against Max Meyer this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Max Meyer has a strikeout rate of 41% (22 SO in 54 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 43% (40/92) against Max Meyer this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Max Meyer has struck out 35% (22/62) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Athletics are just 46-107 (.299) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Marlins (29th best runs allowed) today.
The Athletics are just 34-86 (.283) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Marlins (27th best runs scored) today.
The Athletics are just 70-107 (.395) at home since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Athletics were just 24-46 (.338) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Padres (10th best runs allowed) today.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins are just 24-49 (.329) after a win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics won only 32% of their home games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Athletics hitters had an OBP of just .298 (5,966 PA’s) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Athletics batted just .232 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Marlins hitters had an OBP of just .286 (1,976 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 7.53 (118.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.40.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
The Marlins have allowed 7.43 runs per game (104/14) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.53.
Marlins pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 71% of their games since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
More MLB Reading:
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