- The Athletics are -135 favorites vs the Marlins
- Athletics vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Athletics / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (-125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+105) on Sunday, May 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Athletics are against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 16-16 ATS.
Athletics vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: JP Sears 4-2, 2.91 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 0-1, 7.11 ERA
Athletics vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -105 | -125 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -160 | U 9 -115 | +105 |
Athletics vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Athletics will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Athletics Best Bets Today:
Marlins Best Bets Today:
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 16-16 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -4.88% ROI).
- 13-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -1.5% ROI
- 22-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.6 Units / 29.82% ROI
- 10-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.25 Units / -40.89% ROI
Marlins vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker (ATH) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Lawrence Butler (ATH) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Marlins vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Wilson (ATH) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Miguel Andujar (ATH) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Marlins vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| JJ Bleday (ATH) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brent Rooker (ATH) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Miguel Andujar (ATH) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Marlins vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| JP Sears (ATH) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Edward Cabrera (MIA) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -155 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 20% (270/1,358) against JP Sears since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — fourth Percentile.
60% of JP Sears’ strikeouts are in the zone since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (38/239) against JP Sears this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
JP Sears has located his sliders inside 44% of the time (104/238) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 77% (63/82) against Edward Cabrera’s changeup in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Edward Cabrera walked 23 of 171 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 70% (106/151) against Edward Cabrera on non-fastballs in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Edward Cabrera walked 44 of 283 batters (15%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Athletics are just 34-86 (.283) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Marlins (27th best runs scored) today.
The Athletics were just 24-46 (.338) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Padres (10th best runs allowed) today.
The Athletics are just 46-107 (.299) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Marlins (29th best runs allowed) today.
The Athletics are just 70-107 (.395) at home since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins are just 24-49 (.329) after a win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins were just 20-41 (.328) after a win in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Athletics batted just .223 in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics won only 32% of their home games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Athletics hitters had an OBP of just .294 (2,935 PA’s) at home in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins were just 4-17 (.190) against the run line (-61.9% ROI) when slight moneyline favorites (-101 to -149) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Marlins hitters had 149 extra-base hits out of 547 total hits (just 27%) with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Athletics allowed 5.95 runs per game (482/81) on the road in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.60.
Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 7.53 (118.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
Marlins pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 72% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.24 (918.1 IP) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
More MLB Reading:
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