Athletics vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 28

min read
Baltimore Orioles' Austin Hays swings at a pitch in the third inning of a baseball game between the Baltimore Orioles and the Seattle Mariners, Saturday, June 24, 2023, in Baltimore. The Orioles won 6-4 in 10 innings.
(AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 28, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Orioles are -185 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Athletics vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Athletics / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | NSCA | ESPN+

The Oakland Athletics (+150) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-185) on Sunday, April 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Athletics are 11-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 15-11 ATS.

Athletics vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn 2-1, 2.03 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 1-0, 0.00 ERA

Athletics vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -130O 8.5 -110+150
Orioles -1.5 +110U 8.5 -110-185

Athletics vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.05 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+10.60 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Shea Langeliers has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 80% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 14 games (+30.10 Units / 215% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+12.50 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jordan Westburg has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+11.15 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 128 games (+12.88 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.81 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 84 of their last 139 games (+26.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 139 games (+21.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 80 games (+12.26 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 games (+9.88 Units / 9% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 14-14 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -10.95% ROI).

  • 11-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 1.91% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -14.66% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 4.8% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 15-11 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 24.44% ROI).

  • 17-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 8.59% ROI
  • 15-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.2 Units / 18.09% ROI
  • 9-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.5 Units / -26.32% ROI

Orioles vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750

Orioles vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Tyler Nevin (OAK) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Esteury Ruiz (OAK) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Orioles vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Orioles vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (36/99) against Paul Blackburn on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Paul Blackburn has a strikeout rate of just 13% (6 SO in 45 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (58/167) against Paul Blackburn on sliders since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Paul Blackburn has allowed an OPS of just .311 (76 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .660 — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Albert Suarez has pitched 16.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Logan Webb has the longest active streak at 19.1.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (30/85) against Albert Suarez this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Albert Suarez has a first-pitch strike rate of just 41% (9/22) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.

Albert Suarez has an ERA of 0.00 (11.1 IP) this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 3.94 — 100th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Athletics are just 5-8 (.385) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.

The Athletics are just 35-75 (.318) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The Athletics are just 18-44 (.290) after a home loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.

The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Orioles are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 44-54 (.449) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Orioles are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Orioles are 54-41 (.568) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .288 (12,838 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Athletics are batting just .218 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .258 (288 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Athletics are batting just .224 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Orioles hitters are slugging .347 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Orioles hitters are slugging .456 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .385.

Orioles hitters are slugging .469 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of .817 (336 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.75 (804.2 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.37.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 39% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.27 (1667.2 IP) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.

Orioles pitchers have walked 67 of 969 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Orioles won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

The Orioles have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Orioles vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
  • Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
  • Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.