- The Red Sox are -190 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Athletics / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+165) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-200) on Tuesday, July 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Athletics are 34-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 42-47 ATS.
Athletics vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Joey Estes 3-3, 4.45 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 8-5, 5.22 ERA
Athletics vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -110 | O 10 -105 | +165 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 -110 | U 10 -115 | -200 |
Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Zack Gelof has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+24.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+8.65 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+16.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 41 away games (+13.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.35 Units / 37% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games (+13.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+7.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.45 Units / 27% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 46-46 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -8.29% ROI).
- 34-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.15 Units / -11.68% ROI
- 40-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.15 Units / -14.05% ROI
- 49-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 4.18% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 42-47 against the Run Line (-10.55 Units / -8.91% ROI).
- 49-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 4.89% ROI
- 43-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -1.54% ROI
- 41-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -6.21% ROI
Red Sox vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Red Sox vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| David Hamilton (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| JJ Bleday (OAK) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Red Sox vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Red Sox vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (35/167) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 57% of Joey Estes’ pitches (470/827) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Joey Estes has allowed a slugging percentage of just .045 (1 Total Bases / 22 ABs) against right-handed batters over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .397 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .045 (1-for-22) against Joey Estes over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .231 — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (57/376) against Brayan Bello since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .345 (97-for-281) against Brayan Bello when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (266/454) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (161/263) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Athletics are just 89-181 (.330) after a loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Athletics are just 80-175 (.314) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Athletics are just 43-57 (.430) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Athletics are just 44-101 (.303) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .461.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Red Sox are 112-4 (.966) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Red Sox are 170-12 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Red Sox are 46-47 (.495) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Red Sox are just 44-70 (.386) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .203 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .293 (3,918 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Athletics are batting just .227 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Athletics are batting just .119 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 279 strikeouts in 965 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have 647 strikeouts in 2,543 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .270 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.62 (1056.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 49 of 800 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 231 of 3,336 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.26 (405.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Red Sox pitchers have 410 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — tied for 5th most in MLB.
Red Sox vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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