- The Royals are -190 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Athletics / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+155) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-190) on Saturday, May 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Athletics are 19-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 28-18 ATS.
Athletics vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Ross Stripling 1-7, 4.98 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 6-1, 1.64 ERA
Athletics vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -125 | O 9 +100 | +155 |
| Royals | -1.5 +105 | U 9 -120 | -190 |
Athletics vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+13.10 Units / 69% ROI)
- Kyle McCann has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+11.70 Units / 117% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+11.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+10.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+19.55 Units / 72% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 27 games (+19.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+16.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 37 games (+15.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.65 Units / 43% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 39 games (+5.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.24 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+5.15 Units / 18% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 24-23 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -6.99% ROI).
- 19-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -1.93% ROI
- 22-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -4.58% ROI
- 22-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -5.19% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 28-18 against the Run Line (+6.64 Units / 10.38% ROI).
- 27-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.45 Units / 17.57% ROI
- 16-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -27.59% ROI
- 27-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.45 Units / 19.11% ROI
Royals vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Royals vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Royals vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Royals vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ross Stripling (OAK) | 2.5 -155 | 2.5 +115 |
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .325 (25-for-77) against Ross Stripling when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .220 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (35-for-105) against Ross Stripling’s non-fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — fourth Percentile.
Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of .762 (16 Total Bases / 21 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .476 (10-for-21) against Ross Stripling on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .259 — first Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (7/55) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
5 of Seth Lugo’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for most among in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has allowed an OBP of just .159 (44 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 25% (5/20) against Seth Lugo on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 52% — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Athletics are just 39-99 (.283) after a loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Athletics are just 125-202 (.382) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Athletics are just 10-59 (.145) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Athletics are just 20-53 (.274) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Royals are just 14-88 (.137) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 21-14 (.600) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Royals are just 40-56 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .289 (6,672 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Athletics are batting just .201 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Athletics are batting just .119 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Athletics are batting just .227 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,772 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .643 (3,772 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Royals are just 25-43 (.362) against the run line (-31.3% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .501.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 49 of 414 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.71 (880.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .199 against Royals pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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