- The Cardinals are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Cardinals TV Channel: RSN | FDMW
The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-140) on Wednesday, June 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Blue Jays are 37-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 37-30 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Eric Lauer 2-1, 2.08 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 3-5, 3.82 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -110 | +115 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -110 | -140 |
Blue Jays vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.65 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+13.00 Units / 260% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+12.65 Units / 126% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.10 Units / 53% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 66 games (+14.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.89 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 away games (+6.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+10.67 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 44 games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+3.38 Units / 11% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 42-25 against the Run Line (+13.55 Units / 14.22% ROI).
- 37-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.69 Units / 8.47% ROI
- 36-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 4.56% ROI
- 30-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.35 Units / -12.64% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 37-30 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 2.35% ROI).
- 36-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 6.43% ROI
- 37-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.25 Units / 9.84% ROI
- 27-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.85 Units / -18.77% ROI
Cardinals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Cardinals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ivan Herrera (STL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Cardinals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Liberatore (STL) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
| Eric Lauer (TOR) | 2.5 +105 | 2.5 -135 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have no hits on elevated fastballs in 15 AB’s against Eric Lauer this season — tied for best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .205 — 100th Percentile.
79% of Eric Lauer’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 51% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .157 (14-for-89) against Eric Lauer this season — tied for 8th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .232 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .157 (14-for-89) against Eric Lauer this season — tied for 13th best among among 220 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .233 — 94th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Liberatore has walked 1% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 41% (34/83) against Matthew Liberatore when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore walked 4 of 138 left-handed batters (3%) in the 2024 season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has walked 4% of batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Blue Jays are just 26-3 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays are just 6-17 (.261) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Cardinals (22nd best runs scored) today.
The Blue Jays are 32-19 (.627) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Cardinals are just 61-64 (.488) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Cardinals are 34-23 (.596) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cardinals are 30-1 (.968) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 13% of it’s PA’s over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .397 (34 PA’s) on the road this month (1 game) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Cardinals have scored first in 72% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Cardinals are batting .277 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Cardinals are batting .258 this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Blue Jays pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 54% of the time this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers walked 95 of 1,431 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 46% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
More MLB Reading:
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