- The Cubs are -175 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | RSN | TVA | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+145) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-175) on Saturday, August 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Blue Jays are 57-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 59-64 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 9-11, 4.31 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 3-5, 3.15 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -150 | O 8 -115 | +145 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -105 | -175 |
Blue Jays vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 18 of his last 47 games (+50.10 Units / 107% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+15.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 47 games (+12.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+12.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Leonardo Jimenez has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.40 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 50 games (+30.15 Units / 60% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 36 of his last 44 games (+23.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+22.60 Units / 66% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 49 games (+20.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+14.30 Units / 33% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 52 games (+21.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+13.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+10.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games at home (+8.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games at home (+8.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+7.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 games (+7.15 Units / 17% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 58-64 against the Run Line (-16.65 Units / -10.1% ROI).
- 57-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -9.93% ROI
- 66-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.6 Units / 5.67% ROI
- 53-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.85 Units / -14.77% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 59-64 against the Run Line (-18.2 Units / -10.68% ROI).
- 60-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -2.43% ROI
- 54-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.6 Units / -12.98% ROI
- 65-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.7 Units / 4.22% ROI
Cubs vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cubs vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Cubs vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Justin Steele (CHC) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (25/169) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.1 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (166 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 80.8
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (34/240) against Chris Bassitt with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has averaged 70.8 MPH on curveballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 79.7 — first Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (1,359/3,028) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has allowed a slugging percentage of just .290 (117 Total Bases / 404 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .391 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,937/4,461) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (761/1,699) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Blue Jays are just 10-57 (.149) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Blue Jays are 35-28 (.556) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are just 15-32 (.319) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Blue Jays are just 3-56 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Cubs are just 4-46 (.080) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Cubs are just 13-178 (.068) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Cubs are just 51-49 (.510) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Cubs are 22-7 (.759) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .645.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .206 against the shift this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,883 strikeouts in 9,855 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .323 (13,241 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Blue Jays are batting .257 on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .290 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Cubs are batting .275 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Cubs hitters are slugging .451 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .372.
Cubs hitters are averaging just 3.79 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The average home run distance against the Blue Jays pitchers in the 2023 season was 395.1 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.7
Blue Jays pitchers have 703 three-pitch strikeouts since the 2022 season — 5th most in MLB.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 19 of 395 batters (5%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 56 double plays in 873 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Cubs have allowed 3.67 runs per game (220/60) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
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