- The Cubs are -185 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Blue Jays / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | RSN | TVA
The Toronto Blue Jays (+150) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-185) on Sunday, August 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Blue Jays are 57-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 59-65 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 5-3, 4.93 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 9-2, 3.19 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -150 | O 7 -115 | +150 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +125 | U 7 -105 | -185 |
Blue Jays vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 58.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 18 of his last 48 games (+49.10 Units / 102% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 46 games (+14.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Leonardo Jimenez has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 48 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 42 games (+33.45 Units / 80% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 37 of his last 45 games (+24.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+23.75 Units / 68% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+21.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+15.30 Units / 34% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 53 games (+20.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 42 away games (+14.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+3.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 62 of their last 112 games (+11.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+8.20 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 games (+8.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 59-64 against the Run Line (-15.65 Units / -9.41% ROI).
- 57-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -16 Units / -10.52% ROI
- 66-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.5 Units / 4.81% ROI
- 54-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.85 Units / -13.92% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 59-65 against the Run Line (-19.2 Units / -11.21% ROI).
- 61-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -1.74% ROI
- 54-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.7 Units / -13.68% ROI
- 66-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.7 Units / 4.92% ROI
Cubs vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Cubs vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Cubs vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (19/118) against Bowden Francis on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 29% — third Percentile.
Bowden Francis has a strikeout rate of just 11% (8 SO in 71 PAs) with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed an OBP of just .045 (22 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .262 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (60/367) against Bowden Francis since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shota Imanaga has walked 6 of 194 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 96th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has walked 19 of 521 batters (4%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of 56% (868/1,540) against Shota Imanaga this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 37% (108/295) against Shota Imanaga this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 14th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Blue Jays are 35-29 (.547) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Blue Jays are just 15-32 (.319) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Blue Jays are just 10-58 (.147) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Blue Jays are just 3-57 (.050) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Cubs are 12-7 (.632) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 13-178 (.068) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Cubs are 23-7 (.767) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .647.
The Cubs are 18-10 (.643) after a home loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .323 (13,268 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Blue Jays hitters have just 719 strikeouts in 3,688 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 2,757 strikeouts in 13,268 PA’s (21%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,085 strikeouts in 5,785 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have drawn 3 walks in 92 PA’s (3%) against LHP this month (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters have drawn 72 walks in 1,043 PA’s (7%) against LHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .378 at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Cubs are batting .288 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 56 double plays in 884 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH since last season (7,152 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Cubs pitchers have walked 96 of 1,098 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 34% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Cubs vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
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