- The Blue Jays are +105 favorites vs the Mariners
- Blue Jays vs Mariners Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Mariners TV Channel: RSN1 | RTNW | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Saturday, May 10, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 18-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 19-18 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 2-5, 5.83 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Evans 1-1, 7.21 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -210 | O 8 -105 | +110 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +170 | U 8 -115 | -135 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+17.50 Units / 350% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+6.80 Units / 74% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+20.15 Units / 76% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+19.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+15.00 Units / 188% ROI)
- Ben Williamson has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+9.75 Units / 65% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.10 Units / 5% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.35 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 23-15 against the Run Line (+5.6 Units / 10.3% ROI).
- 18-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -4.61% ROI
- 18-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -8.54% ROI
- 20-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.42 Units / 1% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 19-18 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 3.58% ROI).
- 22-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 6.44% ROI
- 22-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.55 Units / 18.64% ROI
- 13-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.5 Units / -28.08% ROI
Mariners vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bowden Francis (TOR) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bowden Francis has allowed a slugging percentage of .694 (25 Total Bases / 36 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .307 — second Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed an OPS of 1.124 (61 PA’s) on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .634 — 0 Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed 11 home runs this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed a slugging percentage of .698 (37 Total Bases / 53 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .361 — 0 Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Evans has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 9.1 innings pitched — Andres Munoz has the longest active streak at 25.0.
Opponents are hitting .458 (11-for-24) against Logan Evans this month (1 game{NumGameSuffix}) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .245 — second Percentile.
Logan Evans has allowed an OBP of .500 (26 PA’s) this month (1 game{NumGameSuffix}) — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .309 — third Percentile.
Logan Evans has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 38% (6/16) of opposing batters this month (1 game{NumGameSuffix}) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Blue Jays are just 11-4 (.733) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Blue Jays were just 27-44 (.380) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Red Sox (23rd best runs allowed) today.
The Blue Jays are just 24-94 (.203) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mariners are 3-12 (.200) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Mariners are 89-16 (.848) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
The Mariners are 14-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Mariners are 4-12 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .122.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
The Blue Jays are batting just .237 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Blue Jays hitters have put 42% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .210 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .227 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Mariners are batting just .215 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .045 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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