- The Mets are -130 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Mets TV Channel: RSN | SNY
The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-130) on Friday, April 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Blue Jays are 5-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 3-3 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 1-0, 3.00 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill 1-0, 1.69 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -210 | O 7.5 -115 | +110 |
| Mets | -1.5 +170 | U 7.5 -105 | -130 |
Blue Jays vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+22.50 Units / 321% ROI)
- Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+7.35 Units / 184% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jesse Winker has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+13.00 Units / 144% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+11.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+7.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.30 Units / 42% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 116 games (+22.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+17.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+14.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 53 games at home (+14.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 5-2 against the Run Line (+4.7 Units / 60.65% ROI).
- 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 27.51% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -15.89% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 9.55% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 3-3 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -14.66% ROI).
- 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -6.4% ROI
- 2-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -38.69% ROI
- 4-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 28.35% ROI
Mets vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Mets vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Mets vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Mets vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.5 -118 | 5.5 -110 |
| Tylor Megill (NYM) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .124 (52-for-420) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 95th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman allowed a slugging percentage of just .169 (71 Total Bases / 420 ABs) with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 95th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 75% (381/505) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman located his fastball up for a strike 75% (358/478) of the time in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tylor Megill had a strike rate of just 56% (249/446) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .392 (40-for-102) against Tylor Megill when going through the lineup the third time in a game in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .263 — first Percentile.
Tylor Megill allowed an OBP of .475 (120 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .325 — 0 Percentile.
Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of .414 (181 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: .323 — first Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays were just 27-44 (.380) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Mets (15th best runs allowed) today.
The Blue Jays are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets were 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Mets were 74-22 (.771) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Mets were just 69-6 (.920) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .475 (63 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Blue Jays are batting .340 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .227.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .326 (138 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Blue Jays are batting just .077 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters have 10 extra-base hits out of 16 total hits (62%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Mets are batting just .103 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.
Mets hitters have 17 extra-base hits out of 30 total hits (57%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% against Mets pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 608 of 6,318 batters (10%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers walked 121 of 1,445 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
More MLB Reading:
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