- The Mets are -125 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Mets TV Channel: RSN1 | SNY
The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-125) on Saturday, April 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens, NY.
This season, the Blue Jays are 5-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 4-3 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 1-0, 1.50 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 0-1, 3.38 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -225 | O 7.5 +100 | +105 |
| Mets | -1.5 +170 | U 7.5 -120 | -125 |
Blue Jays vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+21.50 Units / 269% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+7.65 Units / 153% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+7.30 Units / 88% ROI)
- Chris Bassitt has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 90% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luisangel Acuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+28.00 Units / 400% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+11.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+7.55 Units / 36% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.30 Units / 42% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 116 games (+22.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+17.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+14.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 53 games at home (+14.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+12.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 5-3 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 29.69% ROI).
- 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 15.31% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -26.16% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 19.44% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 4-3 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 1.9% ROI).
- 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 4.52% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -46.84% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 37.33% ROI
Mets vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Mets vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Mets vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
Mets vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning (NYM) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OBP of .352 (783 PA’s) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.1 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season (185 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 80.7
Chris Bassitt has walked 31 of 288 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has averaged 70.8 MPH on curveballs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 79.5 — first Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (147 Total Bases / 262 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .548 (148 Total Bases / 270 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning allowed an OPS of .903 (288 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning had a strikeout rate of just 13% (17/132) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays were 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are just 16-67 (.193) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Mets were 28-24 (.538) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
The Mets were 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .069 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of 1.011 (67 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .103 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .604.
The Blue Jays are batting .236 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .160.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting just .092 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .225.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters have 11 extra-base hits out of 17 total hits (65%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Mets hitters had an OBP of .329 (1,651 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% against Mets pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 55% against Mets pitchers over the last 14 days of the regular season (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mets pitchers walked 591 of 6,084 batters (10%) in 2023 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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