- The Blue Jays are +100 favorites vs the Phillies
- Blue Jays vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Phillies TV Channel: RSN | TVA | NSPA
The Toronto Blue Jays (+100) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-120) on Friday, June 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA, PA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 38-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 32-35 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 5-4, 3.91 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 4-1, 2.70 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +170 | O 8 -110 | +100 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -210 | U 8 -110 | -120 |
Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 73% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.10 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+9.70 Units / 194% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+9.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.30 Units / 38% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 67 games (+15.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+12.09 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.45 Units / 39% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+11.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 64 games (+8.63 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 68 games (+6.59 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.71 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 45 games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 43-25 against the Run Line (+14.55 Units / 14.99% ROI).
- 38-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.89 Units / 9.87% ROI
- 36-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 3.02% ROI
- 31-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -11.13% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 32-35 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -7.64% ROI).
- 39-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 0.18% ROI
- 30-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -12.68% ROI
- 36-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 4.35% ROI
Phillies vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.5 -118 | 5.5 -110 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman threw his off-speed pitches for a strike just 54% (644/1,197) of the time in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Kevin Gausman allowed a slugging percentage of just .169 (71 Total Bases / 420 ABs) with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 95th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman located his fastball up for a strike 75% (358/478) of the time in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 75% (525/699) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
All 7 of Ranger Suarez’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (35/126) against Ranger Suarez this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 52% of Ranger Suarez’s pitches (288/553) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has a strikeout rate of just 25% (7 SO in 28 PAs) with two-strikes in his last two starts — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Blue Jays are 23-14 (.622) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .502.
The Blue Jays are just 95-9 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Blue Jays are just 30-3 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Phillies are just 16-29 (.356) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Phillies are 33-123 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Phillies are 8-18 (.308) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .136.
The Phillies are 14-144 (.089) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 13% of their PA’s over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Blue Jays are batting just .276 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 14% of their PA’s this month (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .407 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Phillies are batting .262 against LHP since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Phillies are batting .363 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Phillies are batting .266 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after their offense scores since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers walked 444 of 6,050 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
More MLB Reading:
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