Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 26

(AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
  • The Rangers are -140 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays vs Rangers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Blue Jays / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | RSN

The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-140) on Monday, May 26, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX, TX.

This season, the Blue Jays are 25-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 27-26 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 4-4, 4.09 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom 4-1, 2.34 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -175O 7 -110+115
Rangers -1.5 +145U 7 -110-140

Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+13.50 Units / 150% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+15.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+10.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 51 games (+8.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.69 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 54 games (+17.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 54 games (+17.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+8.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+7.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+6.10 Units / 16% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 31-21 against the Run Line (+7.5 Units / 10.33% ROI).

  • 25-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.76 Units / -4.58% ROI
  • 25-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -5.87% ROI
  • 26-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -2.18% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 27-26 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -2.91% ROI).

  • 26-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -8.24% ROI
  • 17-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.75 Units / -37.21% ROI
  • 36-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.1 Units / 28.33% ROI

Rangers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Burger (TEX) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Anthony Santander (TOR) 0.5 +400 0.5 -525
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Daulton Varsho (TOR) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Rangers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180
Bo Bichette (TOR) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Sam Haggerty (TEX) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Rangers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 +160 0.5 -220
Jake Burger (TEX) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Daulton Varsho (TOR) 0.5 +195 0.5 -250

Rangers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jacob deGrom (TEX) 6.5 +100 6.5 -135
Kevin Gausman (TOR) 5.5 +105 5.5 -135

Opponents batted just .124 (52-for-420) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 95th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman allowed a slugging percentage of just .169 (71 Total Bases / 420 ABs) with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 95th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has a strike rate of 69% (322/470) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 68% (441/648) against Kevin Gausman on elevated fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jacob deGrom has allowed a SLG of just .200 vs right-handed batters (second best)– 98th Percentile but .495 vs left-handed batters this season (fifth worst among qualified SPs)– eighth Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has allowed a slugging percentage of .705 (31 Total Bases / 44 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .364 — third Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has allowed an OPS of just .417 (106 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .667 — 98th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has allowed a slugging percentage of just .200 (20 Total Bases / 100 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — 98th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Blue Jays are just 21-93 (.183) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

The Blue Jays are just 85-9 (.904) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Blue Jays are just 20-3 (.870) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .957.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rangers are just 12-54 (.182) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .255.

The Rangers are just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are just 9-18 (.333) on the road this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .439.

The Rangers are 111-78 (.587) at home since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 10% of it’s PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

31% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Blue Jays are batting just .239 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

Blue Jays hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Rangers hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Rangers are batting just .127 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.

The Rangers are batting just .304 in hitter’s counts since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Batters facing the Rangers pitchers have struck out in the zone 56% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 510.9 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.