Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 28

Texas Rangers' Marcus Semien watches his two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the ninth inning in Game 5 of the baseball World Series Wednesday, Nov. 1, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
  • The Rangers are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Blue Jays / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | RSN1

The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-135) on Wednesday, May 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Blue Jays are 26-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 28-27 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Eric Lauer 1-1, 3.31 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 5-2, 1.82 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -175O 8.5 -105+115
Rangers -1.5 +145U 8.5 -115-135

Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 away games (+9.55 Units / 136% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 away games (+6.90 Units / 60% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Wyatt Langford has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+9.90 Units / 110% ROI)
  • Tyler Mahle has hit the Earned Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.90 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 53 games (+7.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 26 away games (+5.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+1.84 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 56 games (+19.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 56 games (+19.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+9.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+9.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+5.75 Units / 14% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 32-22 against the Run Line (+6.85 Units / 9% ROI).

  • 26-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.61 Units / -4.19% ROI
  • 25-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -9.21% ROI
  • 28-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 1.26% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 28-27 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -2.21% ROI).

  • 27-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -8.4% ROI
  • 17-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.85 Units / -39.39% ROI
  • 38-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.1 Units / 30.49% ROI

Rangers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Jake Burger (TEX) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Anthony Santander (TOR) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Daulton Varsho (TOR) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +400 0.5 -525

Rangers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sam Haggerty (TEX) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jake Burger (TEX) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Rangers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jake Burger (TEX) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Anthony Santander (TOR) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Rangers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paxton Schultz (TOR) 2.5 -145 2.5 +110
Tyler Mahle (TEX) 4.5 +115 4.5 -150

Eric Lauer has a strike rate of just 49% (50/102) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.

75% of Eric Lauer’s strikeouts are in the zone this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 51% — 98th Percentile.

4 of Eric Lauer’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 5th most among AL Relievers; League Avg: nan — 93rd Percentile.

75% of Eric Lauer’s strikeouts are in the zone this season — 4th highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 50% — 96th Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Mahle has allowed a slugging percentage of just .187 (17 Total Bases / 91 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Mahle has allowed a slugging percentage of just .289 (28 Total Bases / 97 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .525 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Mahle has located his breaking pitches away 82% of the time (93/114) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Mahle has located his pitches away 66% of the time (155/236) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Blue Jays are just 21-3 (.875) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .957.

The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Blue Jays are just 86-9 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Blue Jays are 30-18 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rangers are just 11-73 (.131) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .193.

The Rangers are just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are just 16-24 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are just 1-14 (.067) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .186.

The Blue Jays are batting just .247 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

31% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters have put 42% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Blue Jays hitters slugged just .349 against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .627 (995 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .300 (6,009 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

The Rangers are batting just .127 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .185 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Batters facing the Rangers pitchers have struck out in the zone 56% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 510.9 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.