- The Blue Jays are -105 favorites vs the Rangers
- Blue Jays vs Rangers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Rangers TV Channel: RSN | TVA | BSSW
The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-115) on Wednesday, September 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Blue Jays are 72-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 67-84 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 8-4, 3.49 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Cody Bradford 5-3, 3.92 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -115 | -105 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -105 | -115 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Addison Barger has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 21 games (+19.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+14.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+12.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 50 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 49 games (+11.10 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 games (+20.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+18.50 Units / 231% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 16 games (+17.60 Units / 110% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 16 games (+16.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 55 away games (+14.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.50 Units / 23% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 39 games (+16.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 72 games at home (+15.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games at home (+9.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+8.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 69% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 74-77 against the Run Line (-16.25 Units / -7.99% ROI).
- 72-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.9 Units / -7.56% ROI
- 78-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.18 Units / 1.93% ROI
- 68-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.2 Units / -11% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 67-84 against the Run Line (-29.45 Units / -14.77% ROI).
- 72-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.9 Units / -9.41% ROI
- 69-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -7.43% ROI
- 74-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.98 Units / -1.2% ROI
Rangers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bradford (TEX) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -150 |
| Bowden Francis (TOR) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .033 (1-for-30) against Bowden Francis this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed an OPS of just .155 (33 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .650 — 100th Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed an OBP of just .246 (500 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .310 — 100th Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed a BABIP of .208 this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .290 — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cody Bradford has walked 10 of 261 batters (4%) this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Cody Bradford has allowed a BABIP of .239 this season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .290 — 96th Percentile.
Cody Bradford has allowed an OBP of just .245 (261 PA’s) this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 98th Percentile.
Cody Bradford has an average fastball velocity of just 89.9 MPH this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 93.7 — third Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Blue Jays are 40-34 (.541) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are just 16-37 (.302) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Blue Jays are just 16-68 (.190) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Blue Jays are 63-50 (.558) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .464.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rangers are just 5-210 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are 35-6 (.854) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Rangers are just 8-116 (.065) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Rangers are just 19-26 (.422) after a road loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,961 strikeouts in 10,304 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .258 (9,354 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .324 (14,077 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .744 (14,077 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
26% of Rangers hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,349/17,975 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .950 (1,019 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.076.
Rangers hitters have not struck out in 19 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% over the past seven days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this month (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.34 (637.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% against Rangers pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 81 of 1,332 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Texas Rangers – No Injuries Reported
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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