- The Rays are -125 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays / Rays TV Channel: RSN | MLBN | BSUN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-125) on Friday, March 29, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Blue Jays are 1-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 0-1 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -115 | +105 |
| Rays | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -105 | -125 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s game with 51.4% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Cavan Biggio has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.95 Units / 195% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in his last game (+1.95 Units / 195% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+1.90 Units / 190% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
- Jose Caballero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games at home (+18.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 94 of their last 164 games (+14.09 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games at home (+8.36 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 99 of their last 164 games (+8.05 Units / 3% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 58.82% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.24 Units / 124% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 92.59% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.12 Units / -100% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.48 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 92.59% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.12 Units / -100% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.8 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (199 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Chris Bassitt has averaged 77.8 MPH on sliders since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — second Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.4 MPH on the 259 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 87.4.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 15% (17/110) against Chris Bassitt on curveballs since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Division opponents batted just .168 against Aaron Civale (22-for-131) in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 98th Percentile.
Aaron Civale elevated 48% of his pitches (506/1,060) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 98th Percentile.
Aaron Civale threw his cutter 45% of the time (477/1,060) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CUT; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.
Aaron Civale located 56% of his pitches away (197/352) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays were just 9-54 (.143) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Blue Jays are 18-13 (.581) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Blue Jays are 41-31 (.569) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
The Blue Jays were 12-7 (.632) after a loss as underdogs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are just 11-26 (.297) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Rays were just 4-12 (.250) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Rays were 52-13 (.800) when they hit 2 or more home runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
The Rays were 20-27 (.426) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
27% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays hitters slugged just .412 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .284 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters slugged .515 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 21% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 22% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers did not pick-off any runners from first base in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB.
Rays pitchers walked 103 of 1,444 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, Out
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Cavan Biggio (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
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