- The Rays are -120 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays / Rays TV Channel: RSN1 | BSUN
The Toronto Blue Jays () visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays () on Saturday, March 30, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Blue Jays are 1-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 1-1 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | O | ||
| Rays | U |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 31 games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Chris Bassitt has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+8.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+9.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games at home (+18.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 94 of their last 164 games (+14.09 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games at home (+8.36 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 99 of their last 164 games (+8.05 Units / 3% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 1-1 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -25.35% ROI).
- 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 12.5% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 93.02% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 1-1 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 32.5% ROI).
- 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -16.67% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 93.02% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.6 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (138 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Opponents batted .313 (51-for-163) against Yusei Kikuchi when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — fourth Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 39% (20 SO in 52 PAs) in late innings since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi threw breaking pitches 49% of the time (302/613) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell threw breaking pitches away 88% of the time (83/94) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has located his breaking pitches away 88% of the time (83/94) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (14/101) against Zack Littell with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell had a strike rate of 69% (920/1,330) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 159-38 (.807) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Blue Jays are 18-13 (.581) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays are 68-107 (.389) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Blue Jays were 46-35 (.568) on the road in 2023 — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays were 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays were just 4-12 (.250) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Rays are just 11-26 (.297) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Rays were 37-3 (.925) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Blue Jays hitters have just 514 strikeouts in 2,646 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .265 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Blue Jays hitters had an OBP of .343 (1,405 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays won 65% of their home games in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 913 of 12,172 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 197 of 2,907 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Rays pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 826 of 11,948 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers did not pick-off any runners from first base in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, Out
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Cavan Biggio (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
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