- The Rays are -140 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Rays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | RSN1 | WTOG
The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-140) on Friday, May 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Tampa, FL, FL.
This season, the Blue Jays are 25-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 21-28 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Eric Lauer 1-0, 2.25 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 2-4, 2.92 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -165 | O 9 -110 | +115 |
| Rays | -1.5 +135 | U 9 -110 | -140 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+15.50 Units / 221% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.90 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+18.30 Units / 183% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games at home (+8.75 Units / 125% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.55 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 48 games (+12.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+7.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.64 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 away games (+3.85 Units / 16% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games (+1.78 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.55 Units / 5% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 31-18 against the Run Line (+11.2 Units / 16.26% ROI).
- 25-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.44 Units / 0.77% ROI
- 24-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -3.82% ROI
- 24-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -4.15% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 21-28 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -14.78% ROI).
- 23-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.77 Units / -9.39% ROI
- 19-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.9 Units / -21.9% ROI
- 28-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.5 Units / 14.01% ROI
Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Rays vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Lauer (MIL) | 3.5 -118 | 3.5 -110 |
| Drew Rasmussen (TB) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eric Lauer has a strikeout rate of 37% (10 SO in 27 PAs) this month (3 games) — 15th best among among 228 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.
Eric Lauer has struck out 37% (7/19) of right-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — tied for 8th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: 23% — 92nd Percentile.
Eric Lauer has allowed an OBP of just .211 (19 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (3 games) — 15th best among among 116 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .319 — 87th Percentile.
Eric Lauer has allowed an OBP of just .185 (27 PA’s) this month (3 games) — 15th best among among 228 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .317 — 93rd Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (317/706) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 54% of the time (92/171) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 55% of the time (224/409) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (214/467) in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are just 20-3 (.870) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .957.
The Blue Jays are just 16-4 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Blue Jays are just 85-9 (.904) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 3-22 (.120) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Rays are 5-23 (.179) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Rays are 66-6 (.904) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Rays are 15-149 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
29% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting just .251 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Blue Jays hitters had an OPS of just .653 (1,419 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging just .366 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Rays hitters had an OPS of .774 (4,837 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters struck out 1,142 times in 4,637 PA’s (25%) against RHP in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 47 double plays in 319 opportunities (15%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers walked 103 of 1,444 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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