- The Blue Jays are -110 favorites vs the Tigers
- Blue Jays vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | MLBN | RSN1
The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-110) on Thursday, May 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Blue Jays are 22-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 21-28 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 2-3, 4.89 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 1-3, 3.86 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -105 | -110 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -115 | -110 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+12.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 32 games (+12.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+10.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Mark Canha has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+7.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.35 Units / 61% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+9.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+9.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+4.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 22-26 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -13.77% ROI).
- 22-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -13.77% ROI
- 20-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -20.65% ROI
- 28-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.7 Units / 10.74% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 21-28 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -14.4% ROI).
- 23-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -9.36% ROI
- 25-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.2 Units / 10.41% ROI
- 18-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.05 Units / -19.61% ROI
Tigers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Flaherty (DET) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .320 (32-for-100) against Kevin Gausman when ahead in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .192 — 0 Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 75% (418/556) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 33% (117 SO in 360 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 96th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 34% (214 SO in 639 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (145/404) against Jack Flaherty this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 48% (34/71) against Jack Flaherty with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 35% (72/205) against Jack Flaherty this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are 25-17 (.595) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Blue Jays are 178-46 (.795) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Blue Jays are just 11-53 (.172) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Blue Jays are 22-12 (.647) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are just 25-142 (.150) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are just 22-93 (.191) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Tigers are just 82-103 (.443) at home since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Tigers are 65-25 (.722) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 590 strikeouts in 3,059 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 76 strikeouts in 415 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Blue Jays are batting just .269 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .358 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Tigers are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Tigers have answered-back in just 21% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (13,800 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 129 of 1,814 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers pitchers won only 16% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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