- The Twins are -150 favorites vs the Blue Jays
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- Blue Jays / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | RSN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+145) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-175) on Friday, August 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Blue Jays are 66-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 63-70 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 12-9, 4.13 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 12-8, 4.30 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -115 | +145 |
| Twins | -1.5 +130 | U 8 -105 | -175 |
Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 40 games (+35.85 Units / 90% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+15.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+13.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 40 games (+12.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 25 games (+25.50 Units / 102% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+15.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+15.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 48 away games (+14.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 68 away games (+5.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.55 Units / 12% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 61 games at home (+14.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games (+12.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 113 games (+4.70 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 57 games (+4.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.35 Units / 43% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 67-69 against the Run Line (-13.25 Units / -7.22% ROI).
- 66-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.45 Units / -6.83% ROI
- 72-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.9 Units / 3.98% ROI
- 60-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.7 Units / -13.23% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 63-70 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -5.66% ROI).
- 72-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -2.28% ROI
- 68-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 2.35% ROI
- 59-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.15 Units / -11.08% ROI
Twins vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Twins vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (1,042/1,377) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 75% (642/856) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 53% (531/998) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has an ERA of 6.27 (51.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.74 — third Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .117 (11-for-94) against Pablo Lopez’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .209 — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .202 (19 Total Bases / 94 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .267 (83-for-311) against Pablo Lopez’s non-fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — eighth Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has allowed an OPS of .774 (234 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .676 — 13th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Blue Jays are just 14-61 (.187) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Blue Jays are 37-30 (.552) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are 31-24 (.564) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Blue Jays are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Twins are 59-1 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Twins are 130-2 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 60-24 (.714) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .624.
The Twins are 19-15 (.559) after a road win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,924 strikeouts in 10,088 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .255 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Blue Jays hitters have just 739 strikeouts in 3,768 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 493 strikeouts in 2,529 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .437 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .770 (3,555 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Twins hitters have drawn 84 walks in 1,332 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .770 (1,607 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .689.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 277 of 4,105 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 69 of 1,183 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Twins pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .264 (1,181 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 786 of 10,958 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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