- The Twins are -155 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Twins Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | RSN | TVA
The Toronto Blue Jays (+130) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-155) on Saturday, August 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Blue Jays are 66-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 64-70 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 13-9, 3.73 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Zebby Matthews 1-1, 3.00 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -165 | O 9 -115 | +130 |
| Twins | -1.5 +135 | U 9 -105 | -155 |
Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 40 games (+35.85 Units / 90% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+15.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+13.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 40 games (+12.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 25 games (+25.50 Units / 102% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+15.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+15.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 49 away games (+13.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 69 away games (+6.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+2.45 Units / 8% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 62 games at home (+13.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 68 games (+11.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 114 games (+5.70 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 58 games (+5.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.35 Units / 46% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 67-70 against the Run Line (-14.65 Units / -7.92% ROI).
- 66-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -7.38% ROI
- 72-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.75 Units / 3.18% ROI
- 61-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.7 Units / -12.47% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 64-70 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -4.95% ROI).
- 73-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -1.73% ROI
- 68-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 1.54% ROI
- 60-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.15 Units / -10.32% ROI
Twins vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Twins vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Zebby Matthews (MIN) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .330 (29-for-88) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .208 — first Percentile.
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 57% of the time (650/1,147) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of .733 (817 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — 16th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .048 (3-for-62) against Jose Berrios with two-strikes this month (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zebby Matthews has walked 2 of 62 batters (3%) this month (3 games) — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.
Zebby Matthews has allowed three-ball counts to 13% of batters they faced (8/62 PA’s) this month (3 games) — 15th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 91st Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Blue Jays are 37-30 (.552) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Blue Jays are just 19-103 (.156) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Blue Jays are just 14-62 (.184) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Blue Jays are 60-57 (.513) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Twins are 60-1 (.984) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Twins are 19-15 (.559) after a road win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Twins are 25-96 (.207) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Twins are 131-2 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 225 strikeouts in 1,124 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .536 (9,052 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Blue Jays hitters have drawn 350 walks in 3,768 PA’s (9%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays hitters have drawn 108 walks in 1,124 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .769 (3,561 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Twins hitters have drawn 85 walks in 1,336 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins hitters are slugging .436 against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Twins hitters are slugging .634 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .581.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 53% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .265 (1,190 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins pitchers have walked 273 of 4,089 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 786 of 10,989 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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