- The Twins are -160 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | RSN1
The Toronto Blue Jays (+125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-150) on Friday, June 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, MN.
This season, the Blue Jays are 33-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 35-27 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Braydon Fisher 1-0, 4.36 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 4-1, 3.47 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -110 | +125 |
| Twins | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -110 | -150 |
Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Addison Barger has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+23.90 Units / 478% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+10.80 Units / 72% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 away games (+9.55 Units / 136% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+9.30 Units / 133% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bailey Ober has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 59% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 61 games (+11.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+11.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.74 Units / 24% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+13.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 games (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 52 games (+12.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 55 games (+11.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 25% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 38-24 against the Run Line (+10.85 Units / 12.5% ROI).
- 33-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.54 Units / 4.79% ROI
- 31-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -2.43% ROI
- 30-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -5.76% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 35-27 against the Run Line (+8 Units / 10.17% ROI).
- 34-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 1.89% ROI
- 23-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.3 Units / -22.48% ROI
- 35-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.65 Units / 14.09% ROI
Twins vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Twins vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Braydon Fisher has a strikeout rate of 43% (10 SO in 23 PAs) over the last 14 days — 6th best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — 95th Percentile.
Braydon Fisher has a first-pitch in-zone of just 39% (9/23) in his last four appearances — tied for 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 55% — eighth Percentile.
Braydon Fisher has a first-pitch in-zone of just 39% (9/23) over the last 14 days — tied for 8th lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 55% — eighth Percentile.
Braydon Fisher has thrown breaking pitches 72% of the time (68/95) over the last 14 days — highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .287 against Bailey Ober non-fastballs this season — second worst among qualified SPs– second Percentile. Opponents batted just .148 (45-for-304) against him non-fastballs last season — best among qualified SPs– 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed a SLG of .462 non-fastballs this season — fifth worst among qualified SPs– seventh Percentile. He allowed a SLG of just .270 non-fastballs last season — fifth best among qualified SPs– 92nd Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of .547 (52 Total Bases / 95 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents batted just .137 (40-for-293) against Bailey Ober’s non-fastballs in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Blue Jays are 12-8 (.600) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Twins (11th best runs scored) today.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays are just 22-94 (.188) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Blue Jays are 32-19 (.627) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Twins are 169-3 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Twins are just 1-91 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Twins are 16-0 (1.000) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have put 42% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
29% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .355 (572 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Twins are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
Twins hitters struck out 1,654 times in 6,219 PA’s (27%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 21% of the time after their offense scores this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers walked 433 of 6,078 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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