- The Blue Jays are -110 favorites vs the Twins
- Blue Jays vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | RSN | RSN1
The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-110) on Saturday, June 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, MN.
This season, the Blue Jays are 34-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 35-28 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 5-4, 3.86 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 2-5, 3.60 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +154 | O 8 -105 | -110 |
| Twins | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -115 | -110 |
Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Addison Barger has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+27.50 Units / 458% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.95 Units / 99% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+8.40 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+10.60 Units / 133% ROI)
- Brooks Lee has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.20 Units / 94% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Walks Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 62 games (+12.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+10.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.84 Units / 26% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+12.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 53 games (+11.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 56 games (+10.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+7.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 39-24 against the Run Line (+11.85 Units / 13.37% ROI).
- 34-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.64 Units / 6.19% ROI
- 32-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -0.94% ROI
- 30-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -7.25% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 35-28 against the Run Line (+7 Units / 8.78% ROI).
- 34-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.3% ROI
- 24-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.3 Units / -20.68% ROI
- 35-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.55 Units / 12.28% ROI
Twins vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nathan Lukes (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Twins vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed a batting average of .333 vs right-handed batters (tied for seventh worst)– 12th Percentile and just .150 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for fifth best among qualified SPs)– 92nd Percentile.
Opponents batted just .124 (52-for-420) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 95th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 77% (160/207) of the time this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman threw his off-speed pitches for a strike just 54% (644/1,197) of the time in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has a strikeout rate of just 18% (16 SO in 89 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — eighth Percentile.
Chris Paddack has allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .276 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Paddack has struck out just 14% (20/142) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 10th Percentile.
Chris Paddack has allowed an OPS of just .602 (142 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .696 — 84th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Blue Jays are 32-19 (.627) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays were just 27-44 (.380) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Red Sox (23rd best runs allowed) today.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Twins are 16-0 (1.000) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Twins are 169-3 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are just 1-92 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Twins are 22-12 (.647) after a win this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
29% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
The Twins are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
The Twins are batting just .191 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Twins hitters had an OPS of just .482 (3,423 PA’s) with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Batters facing the Blue Jays pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 55% of the time this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after their offense scores since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers walked 433 of 6,078 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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