- The Yankees are -140 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Yankees TV Channel: YES | RSN1 | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-140) on Friday, April 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY, NY.
This season, the Blue Jays are 12-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 12-13 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 1-1, 5.03 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 2-1, 6.54 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -190 | O 9 +100 | +115 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +154 | U 9 -120 | -140 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.55 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+18.70 Units / 208% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+13.15 Units / 66% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+7.45 Units / 106% ROI)
- Ben Rice has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 32% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+3.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 16-9 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 14.15% ROI).
- 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -1.77% ROI
- 9-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.05 Units / -29.76% ROI
- 16-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.2 Units / 22.14% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 12-13 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.36% ROI).
- 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 7.12% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.55% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -8.09% ROI
Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -210 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
| Carlos Carrasco (NYY) | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -145 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .641 (25 Total Bases / 39 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .343 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (47/267) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .641 (25 Total Bases / 39 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .360 — fourth Percentile.
Jose Berrios attempted to pick off a runner at second base 17 timesin 2023 — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .426 (20-for-47) against Carlos Carrasco on low fastballs in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .274 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .311 (110-for-354) against Carlos Carrasco when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .757 (28 Total Bases / 37 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .382 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .450 (9-for-20) against Carlos Carrasco on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .219 — first Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 28-15 (.651) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Blue Jays are just 22-87 (.202) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 45-26 (.634) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Blue Jays (22nd best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 87-27 (.763) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .624.
The Yankees are 56-14 (.800) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Yankees are 57-37 (.606) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .466.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .189 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .384 (201 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .307.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .297 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Blue Jays are batting just .302 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .862 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .045 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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