- The Yankees are -210 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Yankees TV Channel: YES | RSN1 | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Saturday, April 26, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY, NY.
This season, the Blue Jays are 13-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 12-14 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 2-2, 3.20 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 4-0, 1.42 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | O | ||
| Yankees | U |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 62.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.65 Units / 71% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- Alan Roden has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+17.70 Units / 177% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+9.25 Units / 116% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.10 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+4.75 Units / 16% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+4.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.85 Units / 28% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 17-9 against the Run Line (+6.2 Units / 16.17% ROI).
- 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 2.56% ROI
- 9-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.15 Units / -32.5% ROI
- 17-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.2 Units / 24.74% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 12-14 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -3.16% ROI).
- 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 2.95% ROI
- 12-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -3.36% ROI
- 12-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -4.33% ROI
Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -220 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Fried (NYY) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -118 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (438/580) of the time since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman threw his off-speed pitches for a strike just 54% (644/1,197) of the time in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 39% (39/101) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .124 (52-for-420) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 95th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .286 against Max Fried non-fastballs this season — tied for fourth worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile. Opponents batted just .177 (52-for-293) against him non-fastballs last season — tied for fifth best among qualified SPs– 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (134/210) against Max Fried in two-strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
6 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — 2nd most among among AL Starters; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 62% (113/183) against Max Fried in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Blue Jays are just 7-84 (.077) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Blue Jays are 28-15 (.651) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 56-14 (.800) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 57-37 (.606) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .466.
The Yankees are 45-26 (.634) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Blue Jays (22nd best runs allowed) today.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .189 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .297 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .592 (584 PA’s) against RHP this month (20 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .500 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .371.
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .045 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Batters facing the Blue Jays pitchers have struck out in the zone 47% of the time since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 12% of batters over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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